Archive: January to March 2024
NewsWatch & Best Pairs Lists
Archive - 71th XX 2024
Archive - 71th XX 2024
Archive - 31st March 2024
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Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
| Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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| Holiday | Sun Mar 31 | All Day | NZD | Bank Holiday |
| Holiday | Sun Mar 31 | All Day | AUD | Bank Holiday |
| Monitor | Sun Mar 31 | 9:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
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| Holiday | Mon Apr 1 | All Day | CHF | Bank Holiday |
| Holiday | Mon Apr 1 | All Day | EUR | French Bank Holiday |
| Holiday | Mon Apr 1 | All Day | EUR | German Bank Holiday |
| Holiday | Mon Apr 1 | All Day | EUR | Italian Bank Holiday |
| Holiday | Mon Apr 1 | All Day | GBP | Bank Holiday |
| Under H4 | Mon Apr 1 | 9:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing PMI |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 10:30 a.m. | CAD | BOC Business Outlook Survey |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 8:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Gauge m/m |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
| Monitor | Mon Apr 1 | 11:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
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| Monitor | Tue Apr 2 | 1:30 a.m. | AUD | Commodity Prices y/y |
| Under H4 | Tue Apr 2 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m |
| Monitor | Tue Apr 2 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m |
| All TFs | Tue Apr 2 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
| Monitor | Tue Apr 2 | 9:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Services PMI |
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| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Unemployment Rate |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 5:15 a.m. | All | OPEC-JMMC Meetings |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
| Under H4 | Wed Apr 3 | 8:15 a.m. | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Services PMI |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
| Holiday | Wed Apr 3 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
| Monitor | Wed Apr 3 | 11:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction |
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| All TFs | Thu Apr 4 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | Tentative | EUR | French 10-y Bond Auction |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | 7:30 a.m. | EUR | ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts |
| All TFs | Thu Apr 4 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Trade Balance |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
| All TFs | Thu Apr 4 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Trade Balance |
| Monitor | Thu Apr 4 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
| Holiday | Thu Apr 4 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
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| Under H4 | Fri Apr 5 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m |
| Under H4 | Fri Apr 5 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Construction PMI |
| Under H4 | Fri Apr 5 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Employment Change |
| Under H4 | Fri Apr 5 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Unemployment Rate |
| Hi Impact | Fri Apr 5 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |
| Hi Impact | Fri Apr 5 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Non-Farm Employment Change |
| Hi Impact | Fri Apr 5 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Rate |
| Hi Impact | Fri Apr 5 | 8:32 a.m. | USD | NFP Revision |
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| Daylight | Sat Apr 6 | 10:00 a.m. | NZD | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
| Daylight | Sat Apr 6 | 12:00 p.m. | AUD | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
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Order | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily | Comment |
1 | GBPJPY | 120 | 794 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | CHFJPY | 112 | 740 | |
3 | EURJPY | 107 | 707 | |
4 | GBPUSD | 69 | 692 | |
5 | GBPCHF | 59 | 649 | |
6 | GBPAUD | 100 | 648 | |
7 | USDJPY | 98 | 644 | |
8 | GBPNZD | 100 | 596 | |
9 | USDCHF | 52 | 574 | |
10 | EURAUD | 82 | 531 | |
11 | EURCHF | 48 | 527 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURUSD | 52 | 520 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | GBPCAD | 70 | 520 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | EURNZD | 83 | 499 |
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15 | AUDUSD | 49 | 488 |
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16 | CADJPY | 72 | 475 |
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17 | USDCAD | 63 | 468 |
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18 | AUDJPY | 67 | 443 |
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19 | AUDCHF | 39 | 434 | |
20 | NZDUSD | 43 | 432 | |
21 | EURCAD | 54 | 400 | |
22 | NZDCHF | 35 | 388 | Poorer performers: |
23 | CADCHF | 34 | 381 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDJPY | 56 | 368 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 27 | 336 | these pairs based on |
26 | AUDCAD | 41 | 303 | their past performance |
27 | NZDCAD | 39 | 290 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 34 | 201 |
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#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 25th March | Tues 26 | Wed 27 | Thur 28 | Fri 29 |
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| 1st | Bank
| GBPNZD or GBPJPY | GBPUSD or USDJPY | USDCHF or CHFJPY | GBPUSD, USDJPY or USDCHF | |
GBPCAD, | GBPUSD or GBPCHF | GBPNZD or USDCHF | GBPCAD, GBPUSD or USDJPY | GBPCAD, GBPJPY or GBPCHF | |||
| 2nd | GBPCHF or GBPAUD | GBPAUD or CHFJPY | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | GBPJPY or EURJPY | GBPAUD or GBPNZD | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Critical Items
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Japan – Monitor – Accomplished: Mon 18th Mar: BOJ Policy Rate now +0.1% from -0.1%
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – Real Estate/Evergrande issue - possible deflation setting up https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Real Estate/Evergrande issue – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) Banks warned of CRE (Commercial Real Estate) Risks – (Added: 11th February 2024)
US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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Archive - 24th March 2024
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Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||||||
| Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event | ||||
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| Monitor | Sun Mar 24 | 7:50 p.m. | JPY | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes | ||||
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| Monitor | Mon Mar 25 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | New Home Sales | ||||
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| Monitor | Tue Mar 26 | 1:00 a.m. | JPY | BOJ Core CPI y/y | ||||
| Monitor | Tue Mar 26 | 3:00 a.m. | EUR | German GfK Consumer Climate | ||||
| Monitor | Tue Mar 26 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction | ||||
| Under H4 | Tue Mar 26 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | ||||
| Under H4 | Tue Mar 26 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m | ||||
| All TFs | Tue Mar 26 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | CB Consumer Confidence | ||||
| Monitor | Tue Mar 26 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | MI Leading Index m/m | ||||
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| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 5:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 6:30 a.m. | GBP | FPC Meeting Minutes | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 6:30 a.m. | GBP | FPC Statement | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 10:00 a.m. | CHF | SNB Quarterly Bulletin | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 7:50 p.m. | JPY | BOJ Summary of Opinions | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 8:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Expectations | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | ANZ Business Confidence | ||||
| Monitor | Wed Mar 27 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | Retail Sales m/m | ||||
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| All TFs | Thu Mar 28 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Current Account | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Final GDP q/q | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer | ||||
| All TFs | Thu Mar 28 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y | ||||
| All TFs | Thu Mar 28 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m | ||||
| Under H4 | Thu Mar 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Final GDP q/q | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Final GDP Price Index q/q | ||||
| Under H4 | Thu Mar 28 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Chicago PMI | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage | ||||
| Holiday | Thu Mar 28 | All Day | NZD | Bank Holiday | ||||
| Holiday | Thu Mar 28 | All Day | AUD | Bank Holiday | ||||
| Monitor | Thu Mar 28 | 7:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y | ||||
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| Holiday | Fri Mar 29 | All Day | CHF | Bank Holiday | ||||
| Holiday | Fri Mar 29 | All Day | EUR | German Bank Holiday | ||||
| Holiday | Fri Mar 29 | All Day | GBP | Bank Holiday | ||||
| Holiday | Fri Mar 29 | All Day | CAD | Bank Holiday | ||||
| All TFs | Fri Mar 29 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m | ||||
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| Daylight | Sat Mar 30 | 9:00 p.m. | CHF | Daylight Saving Time Shift | ||||
| Daylight | Sat Mar 30 | 9:00 p.m. | EUR | Daylight Saving Time Shift | ||||
| Daylight | Sat Mar 30 | 9:00 p.m. | GBP | Daylight Saving Time Shift | ||||
| Monitor | Sat Mar 30 | 9:30 p.m. | CNY | Manufacturing PMI | ||||
| Monitor | Sat Mar 30 | 9:30 p.m. | CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI. | ||||
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
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Order | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily | Comment |
1 | GBPJPY | 118 | 779 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | GBPUSD | 74 | 745 | |
3 | GBPNZD | 123 | 736 | |
4 | GBPAUD | 109 | 712 | |
5 | CHFJPY | 105 | 696 | |
6 | USDJPY | 102 | 675 | |
7 | EURJPY | 102 | 674 | |
8 | USDCHF | 57 | 630 | |
9 | EURNZD | 103 | 620 | |
10 | GBPCHF | 56 | 620 | |
11 | EURAUD | 93 | 608 | Less stressful? |
12 | GBPCAD | 79 | 580 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | EURUSD | 57 | 572 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 52 | 520 |
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15 | NZDUSD | 49 | 491 |
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16 | USDCAD | 66 | 482 |
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17 | EURCAD | 63 | 462 |
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18 | CADJPY | 69 | 458 |
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19 | EURCHF | 41 | 454 | |
20 | AUDCHF | 37 | 410 | |
21 | CADCHF | 36 | 403 | |
22 | AUDJPY | 60 | 397 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 36 | 397 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDJPY | 58 | 384 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 29 | 361 | these pairs based on |
26 | NZDCAD | 49 | 358 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 46 | 339 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 41 | 243 |
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#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 25th March | Tues 26 | Wed 27 | Thur 28 | Fri 29 |
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| 1st | GBPJPY or GBPUSD | GBPUSD or USDJPY | GBPJPY or GBPUSD | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | Easter Friday GBPUSD or USDJPY | |
GBPNZD or GBPAUD | USDCHF or GBPJPY | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | USDCHF or GBPJPY | |||
| 2nd | CHFJPY or USDJPY | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | CHFJPY or USDJPY | EURJPY, GBPCAD or USDCHF | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Critical Items
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Japan – Monitor – Accomplished: Mon 18th Mar: BOJ Policy Rate now +0.1% from -0.1%
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 3 Feb 2024, 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) Banks warned of CRE (Commercial Real Estate) Risks – (Added: 11th February 2024)
US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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Archive - 17th March 2024
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Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
| Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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| N.A. | Sun Mar 17 |
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| Monitor | Mon Mar 18 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | Final Core CPI y/y |
| Monitor | Mon Mar 18 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | Final CPI y/y |
| All TFs | Mon Mar 18 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | Trade Balance |
| Hi Impact | Mon Mar 18 | Tentative | JPY | Monetary Policy Statement |
| Hi Impact | Mon Mar 18 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Policy Rate |
| Hi Impact | Mon Mar 18 | 11:30 p.m. | AUD | Cash Rate |
| Hi Impact | Mon Mar 18 | 11:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Rate Statement |
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| Hi Impact | Tue Mar 19 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Press Conference |
| All TFs | Tue Mar 19 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | Trade Balance |
| Under H4 | Tue Mar 19 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | German ZEW Economic Sentiment |
| Under H4 | Tue Mar 19 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | ZEW Economic Sentiment |
| All TFs | Tue Mar 19 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | CPI m/m |
| All TFs | Tue Mar 19 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core CPI m/m |
| Monitor | Tue Mar 19 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Housing Starts |
| All TFs | Tue Mar 19 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
| All TFs | Tue Mar 19 | 5:45 p.m. | NZD | Current Account |
| Holiday | Tue Mar 19 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday |
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| Monitor | Wed Mar 20 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | CPI y/y |
| Monitor | Wed Mar 20 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Core CPI y/y |
| Monitor | Wed Mar 20 | Tentative | EUR | German 30-y Bond Auction |
| Monitor | Wed Mar 20 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
| Monitor | Wed Mar 20 | 1:30 p.m. | CAD | BOC Summary of Deliberations |
| Hi Impact | Wed Mar 20 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Funds Rate |
| Hi Impact | Wed Mar 20 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Economic Projections |
| Hi Impact | Wed Mar 20 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Statement |
| Hi Impact | Wed Mar 20 | 2:30 p.m. | USD | FOMC Press Conference |
| All TFs | Wed Mar 20 | 5:45 p.m. | NZD | GDP q/q |
| All TFs | Wed Mar 20 | 7:50 p.m. | JPY | Trade Balance |
| Under H4 | Wed Mar 20 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | Employment Change |
| Under H4 | Wed Mar 20 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | Unemployment Rate |
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| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 4:30 a.m. | CHF | SNB Monetary Policy Assessment |
| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 4:30 a.m. | CHF | SNB Policy Rate |
| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 5:00 a.m. | CHF | SNB Press Conference |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Services PMI |
| All TFs | Thu Mar 21 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Current Account |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB Economic Bulletin |
| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 8:00 a.m. | GBP | Monetary Policy Summary |
| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 8:00 a.m. | GBP | MPC Official Bank Rate Votes |
| Hi Impact | Thu Mar 21 | 8:00 a.m. | GBP | Official Bank Rate |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
| Under H4 | Thu Mar 21 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index |
| All TFs | Thu Mar 21 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Current Account |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Services PMI |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Existing Home Sales |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
| All TFs | Thu Mar 21 | 5:45 p.m. | NZD | Trade Balance |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 7:30 p.m. | JPY | National Core CPI y/y |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 8:01 p.m. | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence |
| Monitor | Thu Mar 21 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Financial Stability Review |
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| Under H4 | Fri Mar 22 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Retail Sales m/m |
| Monitor | Fri Mar 22 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | German ifo Business Climate |
| Under H4 | Fri Mar 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
| Under H4 | Fri Mar 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Retail Sales m/m |
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| N.A. | Sat Mar 23 |
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#E5F8FF
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
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Order | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily | Comment |
1 | GBPJPY | 103 | 690 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | GBPNZD | 111 | 675 | |
3 | GBPAUD | 101 | 662 | |
4 | EURJPY | 97 | 651 | |
5 | GBPUSD | 64 | 640 | |
6 | CHFJPY | 94 | 632 | |
7 | USDJPY | 88 | 588 | |
8 | EURNZD | 95 | 581 | |
9 | EURAUD | 85 | 558 | |
10 | GBPCAD | 72 | 529 | |
11 | USDCHF | 46 | 520 | Less stressful? |
12 | GBPCHF | 45 | 513 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | EURUSD | 50 | 496 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 46 | 456 |
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15 | NZDUSD | 42 | 422 |
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16 | USDCAD | 57 | 419 |
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17 | CADJPY | 61 | 412 |
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18 | EURCAD | 56 | 412 |
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19 | EURCHF | 36 | 403 | |
20 | NZDJPY | 55 | 370 | |
21 | AUDJPY | 55 | 369 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 32 | 360 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 31 | 352 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDCAD | 44 | 324 | likely less profit from |
25 | CADCHF | 28 | 316 | these pairs based on |
26 | EURGBP | 25 | 313 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 41 | 306 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 37 | 225 |
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#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 18th March | Tues 19 | Wed 20 | Thur 21 | Fri 22 |
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| 1st | EURJPY or EURNZD | EURJPY or CHFJPY | JPY Holiday GBPUSD or USDJPY | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | GBPNZD or GBPCAD | |
EURAUD or GBPJPY | EURAUD or GBPJPY | GBPNZD or EURNZD | GBPAUD, CHFJPY or GBPCAD | GBPJPY or GBPAUD | |||
| 2nd | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPAUD, USDJPY, EURNZD or GBPCAD | GBPJPY or GBPAUD | EURJPY, GBPUSD or USDJPY | GBPUSD or EURNZD | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Critical Items
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Japan – Monitor - Japan is set to end its decades-long negative interest rates policy
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 3 Feb 2024, 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) Banks warned of CRE (Commercial Real Estate) Risks – (Added: 11th February 2024)
US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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Archive - 10th March 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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Monitor | Sun Mar 10 | 3:00 a.m. | CAD | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
Monitor | Sun Mar 10 | 3:00 a.m. | USD | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
Monitor | Sun Mar 10 | 7:50 p.m. | JPY | Final GDP q/q |
Monitor | Sun Mar 10 | 7:50 p.m. | JPY | Final GDP Price Index y/y |
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Monitor | Mon Mar 11 | 11th-15th | CNY | New Loans |
Monitor | Mon Mar 11 | 11th-15th | CNY | M2 Money Supply y/y |
Monitor | Mon Mar 11 | All Day | EUR | Eurogroup Meetings |
Monitor | Mon Mar 11 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | NAB Business Confidence |
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Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | 3:00 a.m. | EUR | German Final CPI m/m |
Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Average Earnings Index 3m/y |
Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings |
All TFs | Tue Mar 12 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Mar 12 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI m/m |
Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI y/y |
Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Tue Mar 12 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Budget Balance |
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All TFs | Wed Mar 13 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | GDP m/m |
Under H4 | Wed Mar 13 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Industrial Production m/m |
Under H4 | Wed Mar 13 | 3:00 a.m. | GBP | Manufacturing Production m/m |
Monitor | Wed Mar 13 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Mar 13 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Under H4 | Wed Mar 13 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | Industrial Production m/m |
Monitor | Wed Mar 13 | Tentative | GBP | NIESR GDP Estimate |
Monitor | Wed Mar 13 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Mar 13 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 30-y Bond Auction |
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Monitor | Thu Mar 14 | 3:30 a.m. | CHF | PPI m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PPI m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | PPI m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Retail Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Mar 14 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Mar 14 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
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Monitor | Fri Mar 15 | 5:30 a.m. | GBP | Consumer Inflation Expectations |
Monitor | Fri Mar 15 | 8:15 a.m. | CAD | Housing Starts |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 15 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Wholesale Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 15 | 9:15 a.m. | USD | Industrial Production m/m |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 15 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 15 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations |
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N.A. | Sat Mar 16 |
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#E5F8FF
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Order | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily | Comment |
1 | GBPNZD | 123 | 760 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | GBPAUD | 113 | 746 | |
3 | GBPJPY | 101 | 690 | |
4 | GBPUSD | 68 | 676 | |
5 | CHFJPY | 90 | 614 | |
6 | EURNZD | 99 | 611 | |
7 | EURAUD | 91 | 602 | |
8 | EURJPY | 88 | 597 | |
9 | GBPCAD | 80 | 595 | |
10 | USDCHF | 52 | 592 | |
11 | GBPCHF | 52 | 592 | Less stressful? |
12 | USDJPY | 84 | 571 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | EURUSD | 54 | 537 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 49 | 490 |
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15 | EURCAD | 63 | 469 |
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16 | USDCAD | 62 | 459 |
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17 | NZDUSD | 45 | 450 |
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18 | EURCHF | 38 | 434 |
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19 | CADJPY | 58 | 392 | |
20 | NZDJPY | 57 | 387 | |
21 | AUDCHF | 33 | 377 | |
22 | NZDCHF | 33 | 375 | Poorer performers: |
23 | AUDJPY | 54 | 369 | Much less volatility & |
24 | CADCHF | 31 | 351 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 27 | 348 | these pairs based on |
26 | NZDCAD | 47 | 347 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 43 | 322 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 40 | 244 |
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#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 11th March | Tues 12 | Wed 13 | Thur 14 | Fri 15 |
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| 1st | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or USDCHF | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or GBPCAD | GBPUSD or GBPCAD | |
GBPJPY or GBPUSD | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPJPY or GBPUSD | USDCHF or GBPNZD | USDCHF or GBPNZD | |||
| 2nd | CHFJPY or EURNZD | GBPJPY or GBPUSD | EURNZD, EURAUD or EURJPY | GBPAUD or GBPJPY | GBPAUD or GBPJPY | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Archive - 3rd March 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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Monitor | Sun Mar 3 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Gauge m/m |
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All TFs | Mon Mar 4 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
Monitor | Mon Mar 4 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y |
All TFs | Mon Mar 4 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Current Account |
Monitor | Mon Mar 4 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Services PMI |
Monitor | Mon Mar 4 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
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All TFs | Tue Mar 5 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
Monitor | Tue Mar 5 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Services PMI |
All TFs | Tue Mar 5 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | GDP q/q |
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Under H4 | Wed Mar 6 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Construction PMI |
Under H4 | Wed Mar 6 | 8:15 a.m. | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
Hi Impact | Wed Mar 6 | 9:45 a.m. | CAD | BOC Rate Statement |
Hi Impact | Wed Mar 6 | 9:45 a.m. | CAD | Overnight Rate |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Fed Chair Powell Testifies |
Hi Impact | Wed Mar 6 | 10:30 a.m. | CAD | BOC Press Conference |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Beige Book |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance |
Monitor | Wed Mar 6 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction |
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Under H4 | Thu Mar 7 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m |
Monitor | Thu Mar 7 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Mar 7 | Tentative | EUR | French 10-y Bond Auction |
Hi Impact | Thu Mar 7 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Main Refinancing Rate |
Hi Impact | Thu Mar 7 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Monetary Policy Statement |
All TFs | Thu Mar 7 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Trade Balance |
All TFs | Thu Mar 7 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Trade Balance |
Hi Impact | Thu Mar 7 | 8:45 a.m. | EUR | ECB Press Conference |
Monitor | Thu Mar 7 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Fed Chair Powell Testifies |
Monitor | Thu Mar 7 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
All TFs | Thu Mar 7 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Current Account |
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Monitor | Fri Mar 8 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | Economy Watchers Sentiment |
Monitor | Fri Mar 8 | 8th-15th | CNY | New Loans |
Monitor | Fri Mar 8 | 8th-15th | CNY | M2 Money Supply y/y |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Employment Change |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Unemployment Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |
Hi Impact | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Non-Farm Employment Change |
Hi Impact | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Rate |
Monitor | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | CPI y/y |
Monitor | Fri Mar 8 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | PPI y/y |
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NA | Sat Mar 9 |
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#E5F8FF
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Archive - 25th February 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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N.A. | Sun Feb 25 |
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Monitor | Mon Feb 26 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | New Home Sales |
Monitor | Mon Feb 26 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | National Core CPI y/y |
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Monitor | Tue Feb 27 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German GfK Consumer Climate |
All TFs | Tue Feb 27 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y |
Under H4 | Tue Feb 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
Under H4 | Tue Feb 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 27 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | CB Consumer Confidence |
Hi Impact | Tue Feb 27 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | Official Cash Rate |
Hi Impact | Tue Feb 27 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement |
Hi Impact | Tue Feb 27 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Rate Statement |
Hi Impact | Tue Feb 27 | 9:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Press Conference |
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Under H4 | Wed Feb 28 | 28th-1st | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m |
Monitor | Wed Feb 28 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations |
Monitor | Wed Feb 28 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Wed Feb 28 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Current Account |
All TFs | Wed Feb 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP q/q |
All TFs | Wed Feb 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP Price Index q/q |
Monitor | Wed Feb 28 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Feb 28 | 7:00 p.m. | NZD | ANZ Business Confidence |
Monitor | Wed Feb 28 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Retail Sales m/m |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | BOJ Core CPI y/y |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m |
All TFs | Thu Feb 29 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | GDP q/q |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer |
All TFs | Thu Feb 29 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m |
All TFs | Thu Feb 29 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 29 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Chicago PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 29 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | Consumer Confidence |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 12:30 a.m. | AUD | Commodity Prices y/y |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Unemployment Rate |
Under H4 | Fri Mar 1 | 9:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices |
Monitor | Fri Mar 1 | Tentative | USD | Fed Monetary Policy Report |
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N.A. | Sat Mar 2 |
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#E5F8FF
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|
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Order | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily | Comment |
1 | GBPUSD | 78 | 783 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | GBPNZD | 126 | 783 | |
3 | GBPAUD | 108 | 712 | |
4 | GBPJPY | 106 | 702 | |
5 | USDCHF | 59 | 665 | |
6 | GBPCHF | 56 | 636 | |
7 | EURNZD | 102 | 635 | |
8 | USDJPY | 95 | 632 | |
9 | CHFJPY | 91 | 606 | |
10 | EURJPY | 89 | 595 | |
11 | EURAUD | 90 | 590 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURUSD | 59 | 586 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | GBPCAD | 77 | 573 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 52 | 525 |
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15 | NZDUSD | 51 | 506 |
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16 | USDCAD | 66 | 489 |
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17 | EURCAD | 61 | 454 |
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18 | EURCHF | 39 | 442 |
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19 | CADJPY | 62 | 412 | |
20 | EURGBP | 30 | 378 | |
21 | NZDCAD | 51 | 378 | |
22 | NZDCHF | 33 | 376 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDJPY | 57 | 376 | Much less volatility & |
24 | AUDJPY | 56 | 375 | likely less profit from |
25 | CADCHF | 33 | 370 | these pairs based on |
26 | AUDCHF | 32 | 360 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 47 | 348 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 42 | 257 |
|
#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 26th Feb | Tues 27 | Wed 28 | Thur 29 | Fri March 1st |
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| 1st | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | GBPUSD or USDCHF | GBPNZD or EURNZD | USDCHF or GBPUSD | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | |
GBPAUD or GBPJPY | EURNZD or USDJPY | GBPUSD or GBPAUD | GBPCHF or USDJPY | GBPCAD, GBPAUD or GBPJPY | |||
| 2nd | USDCHF or GBPCHF | EURJPY or GBPNZD | GBPCAD, GBPJPY, | CHFJPY or GBPNZD | USDCHF or GBPCHF | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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| |
Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 3 Feb 2024, 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
| |
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) Banks warned of CRE (Commercial Real Estate) Risks – (Added: 11th February 2024)
US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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Archive - 18th February 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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N.A. | Sun Feb 18 |
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Monitor | Mon Feb 19 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | German Buba Monthly Report |
Holiday | Mon Feb 19 | All Day | CAD | Bank Holiday |
Holiday | Mon Feb 19 | All Day | USD | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Mon Feb 19 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
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All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 2:00 a.m. | CHF | Trade Balance |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Current Account |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
Monitor | Tue Feb 20 | 4:45 p.m. | AUD | MI Leading Index m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Wed Feb 21 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Feb 21 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |
All TFs | Wed Feb 21 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Services PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final Core CPI y/y |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final CPI y/y |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 7:30 a.m. | EUR | ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Retail Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Services PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Existing Home Sales |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 11:00 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Retail Sales q/q |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Core Retail Sales q/q |
Holiday | Thu Feb 22 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 7:01 p.m. | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence |
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Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | German ifo Business Climate |
Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | All Day | EUR | Eurogroup Meetings |
Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | Tentative | USD | Fed Monetary Policy Report |
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Monitor | Sat Feb 24 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings |
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#E5F8FF
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Archive - 11th February 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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Holiday | Sun Feb 11 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday |
Holiday | Sun Feb 11 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
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Monitor | Mon Feb 12 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Budget Balance |
Monitor | Mon Feb 12 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | NAB Business Confidence |
Holiday | Mon Feb 12 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Mon Feb 12 | 9:00 p.m. | NZD | Inflation Expectations q/q |
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Monitor | Tue Feb 13 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Average Earnings Index 3m/y |
All TFs | Tue Feb 13 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
Under H4 | Tue Feb 13 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | ZEW Economic Sentiment |
Under H4 | Tue Feb 13 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | German ZEW Economic Sentiment |
Monitor | Tue Feb 13 | Tentative | EUR | EU Economic Forecasts |
All TFs | Tue Feb 13 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 13 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI m/m |
Monitor | Tue Feb 13 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI y/y |
Holiday | Tue Feb 13 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
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Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | CPI y/y |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Core CPI y/y |
All TFs | Wed Feb 14 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash GDP q/q |
Under H4 | Wed Feb 14 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Industrial Production m/m |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | Tentative | EUR | German 30-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Prelim GDP Price Index y/y |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Prelim GDP q/q |
Monitor | Wed Feb 14 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Expectations |
Under H4 | Wed Feb 14 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Employment Change |
Under H4 | Wed Feb 14 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Unemployment Rate |
Holiday | Wed Feb 14 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
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All TFs | Thu Feb 15 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | GDP m/m |
All TFs | Thu Feb 15 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Prelim GDP q/q |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Industrial Production m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Manufacturing Production m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | PPI m/m |
All TFs | Thu Feb 15 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Trade Balance |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | Tentative | GBP | NIESR GDP Estimate |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | 8:15 a.m. | CAD | Housing Starts |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Retail Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 15 | 9:15 a.m. | USD | Industrial Production m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 15 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Holiday | Thu Feb 15 | All Day | CNY | Bank Holiday |
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Under H4 | Fri Feb 16 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Retail Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Fri Feb 16 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Wholesale Sales m/m |
Monitor | Fri Feb 16 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PPI m/m |
Monitor | Fri Feb 16 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | PPI m/m |
Monitor | Fri Feb 16 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Housing Starts |
Under H4 | Fri Feb 16 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment |
Under H4 | Fri Feb 16 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations |
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NA | Sat Feb 17 |
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#E5F8FF
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Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 12th Feb | Tues 13 | Wed 14 | Thur 15 | Fri 16 |
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| 1st | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | USDCHF or GBPUSD | EURNZD or EURJPY | GBPUSD or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or USDCHF | |
GBPUSD or USDJPY | USDJPY or EURNZD | EURAUD or GBPJPY | EURAUD or GBPJPY | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | |||
| 2nd | EURNZD or CHFJPY | CHFJPY or EURAUD | GBPNZD or GBPUSD | EURJPY, GBPNZD or EURNZD | USDJPY or EURNZD | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
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Last week |
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1 | GBPJPY | 124 | 829 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | GBPNZD | 135 | 829 | |
3 | GBPUSD | 80 | 802 | |
4 | USDJPY | 116 | 779 | |
5 | EURNZD | 119 | 733 | |
6 | CHFJPY | 109 | 732 | |
7 | EURJPY | 109 | 730 | |
8 | GBPAUD | 112 | 728 | |
9 | USDCHF | 61 | 693 | |
10 | EURAUD | 105 | 682 | |
11 | GBPCHF | 56 | 643 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURUSD | 62 | 616 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | GBPCAD | 83 | 613 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 55 | 550 |
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15 | NZDUSD | 55 | 545 |
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16 | EURCAD | 70 | 520 |
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17 | CADJPY | 76 | 512 |
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18 | USDCAD | 68 | 503 |
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19 | EURCHF | 41 | 471 | |
20 | CADCHF | 40 | 458 | |
21 | NZDCHF | 37 | 426 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 37 | 426 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCAD | 55 | 406 | Much less volatility & |
24 | EURGBP | 31 | 391 | likely less profit from |
25 | AUDJPY | 58 | 386 | these pairs based on |
26 | NZDJPY | 58 | 386 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 52 | 383 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 44 | 268 |
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#E5F8FF
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 12th Feb | Tues 13 | Wed 14 | Thur 15 | Fri 16 |
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| 1st | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | USDCHF or GBPUSD | EURNZD or EURJPY | GBPUSD or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or USDCHF | |
GBPUSD or USDJPY | USDJPY or EURNZD | EURAUD or GBPJPY | EURAUD or GBPJPY | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | |||
| 2nd | EURNZD or CHFJPY | CHFJPY or EURAUD | GBPNZD or GBPUSD | EURJPY, GBPNZD or EURNZD | USDJPY or EURNZD | |
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 3 Feb 2024, 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
| |
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) Banks warned of CRE (Commercial Real Estate) Risks – (Added: 11th February 2024)
US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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Archive - 4th Feb 2024
Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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N.A. | Sun Feb 18 |
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Monitor | Mon Feb 19 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | German Buba Monthly Report |
Holiday | Mon Feb 19 | All Day | CAD | Bank Holiday |
Holiday | Mon Feb 19 | All Day | USD | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Mon Feb 19 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
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All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 2:00 a.m. | CHF | Trade Balance |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Current Account |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
Monitor | Tue Feb 20 | 4:45 p.m. | AUD | MI Leading Index m/m |
All TFs | Tue Feb 20 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Wed Feb 21 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Feb 21 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes |
All TFs | Wed Feb 21 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Services PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final Core CPI y/y |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final CPI y/y |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 7:30 a.m. | EUR | ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Retail Sales m/m |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Services PMI |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Existing Home Sales |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 11:00 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Retail Sales q/q |
Under H4 | Thu Feb 22 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Core Retail Sales q/q |
Holiday | Thu Feb 22 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Thu Feb 22 | 7:01 p.m. | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence |
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Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | German ifo Business Climate |
Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | All Day | EUR | Eurogroup Meetings |
Monitor | Fri Feb 23 | Tentative | USD | Fed Monetary Policy Report |
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Monitor | Sat Feb 24 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings |
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#E5F8FF
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Market Open Times (NY Time): | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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Monitor | Sun Feb 4 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Gauge m/m |
Monitor | Sun Feb 4 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Services PMI |
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Monitor | Mon Feb 5 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Services PMI |
Holiday | Mon Feb 5 | All Day | NZD | Bank Holiday |
Hi Impact | Mon Feb 5 | 10:30 p.m. | AUD | Cash Rate |
Hi Impact | Mon Feb 5 | 10:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Rate Statement |
Monitor | Mon Feb 5 | 10:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Monetary Policy Statement |
Hi Impact | Mon Feb 5 | 11:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Press Conference |
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Under H4 | Tue Feb 6 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Construction PMI |
All TFs | Tue Feb 6 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
Monitor | Tue Feb 6 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Employment Change q/q |
Monitor | Tue Feb 6 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Unemployment Rate |
Monitor | Tue Feb 6 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction |
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Under H4 | Wed Feb 7 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m |
All TFs | Wed Feb 7 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Trade Balance |
All TFs | Wed Feb 7 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Trade Balance |
Monitor | Wed Feb 7 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Feb 7 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Feb 7 | 1:30 p.m. | CAD | BOC Summary of Deliberations |
All TFs | Wed Feb 7 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Current Account |
Monitor | Wed Feb 7 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | CPI y/y |
Monitor | Wed Feb 7 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | PPI y/y |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | Economy Watchers Sentiment |
Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB Economic Bulletin |
Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 30-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Feb 8 | 5:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Gov Bullock Speaks |
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Monitor | Fri Feb 9 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German Final CPI m/m |
Under H4 | Fri Feb 9 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Employment Change |
Under H4 | Fri Feb 9 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Unemployment Rate |
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NA | Sat Feb 10 |
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#E5F8FF
| |||||||
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 5th Feb | Tues 6 | Wed 7 | Thur 8 | Fri 9 |
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| 1st | GBPJPY or USDJPY | GBPAUD or EURAUD | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | GBPJPY or USDJPY | GBPJPY or USDJPY | |
GBPUSD or GBPNZD | GBPNZD or GBPJPY | USDJPY or GBPNZD | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | |||
| 2nd | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPUSD or EURNZD | USDCHF or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | GBPCAD, CHFJPY or EURJPY | |
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Smooth Movers
| |||||||
|
Forex Pairs
|
|
Indices
|
| |||
|
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Last week |
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|
|
1 | GBPJPY | 131 | 883 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | USDJPY | 127 | 853 | |
3 | GBPUSD | 82 | 825 | |
4 | GBPNZD | 134 | 810 | |
5 | CHFJPY | 116 | 782 | |
6 | EURJPY | 115 | 777 | |
7 | USDCHF | 64 | 737 | |
8 | EURNZD | 121 | 734 | |
9 | GBPAUD | 112 | 730 | |
10 | EURAUD | 109 | 707 | |
11 | EURUSD | 65 | 653 | Less stressful? |
12 | GBPCAD | 85 | 634 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | GBPCHF | 53 | 611 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | AUDUSD | 58 | 575 |
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15 | CADJPY | 83 | 558 |
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16 | NZDUSD | 55 | 549 |
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17 | EURCAD | 74 | 548 |
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18 | USDCAD | 69 | 514 |
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19 | EURCHF | 42 | 487 | |
20 | CADCHF | 41 | 468 | |
21 | AUDJPY | 66 | 446 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 36 | 420 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 36 | 412 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDCAD | 54 | 400 | likely less profit from |
25 | AUDCAD | 52 | 386 | these pairs based on |
26 | EURGBP | 31 | 386 | their past performance |
27 | NZDJPY | 57 | 386 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 43 | 263 |
|
#E5F8FF
| |||||||
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 5th Feb | Tues 6 | Wed 7 | Thur 8 | Fri 9 |
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| 1st | GBPJPY or USDJPY | GBPAUD or EURAUD | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | GBPJPY or USDJPY | GBPJPY or USDJPY | |
GBPUSD or GBPNZD | GBPNZD or GBPJPY | USDJPY or GBPNZD | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | |||
| 2nd | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPUSD or EURNZD | USDCHF or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | GBPCAD, CHFJPY or EURJPY | |
| |||||||
Smooth Movers
| |||||||
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Forex Pairs
|
|
Indices
|
| |||
|
| ||||||
|
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|
|
| |
Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 3 Feb 2024, 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
|
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
Archive - 28th Jan 2024
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MAX NewsWatch List |
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28th January 2024 . |
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All Times are in New York Times |
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Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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All TFs | Sun Jan 28 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Mon Jan 29 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Retail Sales m/m |
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All TFs | Tue Jan 30 | 2:00 a.m. | CHF | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | German Prelim GDP q/q |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Prelim Flash GDP q/q |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction |
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All TFs | Tue Jan 30 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | CB Consumer Confidence |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | BOJ Summary of Opinions |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 7:00 p.m. | NZD | ANZ Business Confidence |
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All TFs | Tue Jan 30 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | CPI q/q |
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All TFs | Tue Jan 30 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Trimmed Mean CPI q/q |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 30 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | Consumer Confidence |
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Under H4 | Wed Jan 31 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
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Under H4 | Wed Jan 31 | 8:15 a.m. | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
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All TFs | Wed Jan 31 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m |
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Under H4 | Wed Jan 31 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Chicago PMI |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
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Hi Impact | Wed Jan 31 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Funds Rate |
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Hi Impact | Wed Jan 31 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Statement |
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Hi Impact | Wed Jan 31 | 2:30 p.m. | USD | FOMC Press Conference |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 31 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 12:30 a.m. | AUD | Commodity Prices y/y |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Unemployment Rate |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | All Day | All | OPEC-JMMC Meetings |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | Tentative | EUR | French 10-y Bond Auction |
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Hi Impact | Thu Feb 1 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | BOE Monetary Policy Report |
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Hi Impact | Thu Feb 1 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | Monetary Policy Summary |
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Hi Impact | Thu Feb 1 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | MPC Official Bank Rate Votes |
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Hi Impact | Thu Feb 1 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | Official Bank Rate |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
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Under H4 | Thu Feb 1 | 9:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices |
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Monitor | Thu Feb 1 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
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Hi Impact | Fri Feb 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Average Hourly Earnings m/m |
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Hi Impact | Fri Feb 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Non-Farm Employment Change |
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Hi Impact | Fri Feb 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Rate |
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Hi Impact | Fri Feb 2 | 8:32 a.m. | USD | NFP Revision |
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N.A. | Sat Feb 3 | |
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18.57 cm x 0.5 Row height,
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Last week |
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|
|
1 | GBPJPY | 141 | 950 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | USDJPY | 127 | 858 | |
3 | CHFJPY | 122 | 822 | |
4 | GBPNZD | 132 | 806 | |
5 | GBPUSD | 79 | 793 | |
6 | EURJPY | 114 | 773 | |
7 | GBPAUD | 114 | 750 | |
8 | USDCHF | 63 | 728 | |
9 | EURNZD | 111 | 675 | |
10 | GBPCAD | 90 | 670 | |
11 | EURAUD | 102 | 668 | Less stressful? |
12 | GBPCHF | 57 | 658 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | EURUSD | 63 | 633 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | CADJPY | 87 | 587 |
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15 | AUDUSD | 57 | 572 |
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16 | EURCAD | 73 | 544 |
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17 | NZDUSD | 53 | 533 |
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18 | EURCHF | 43 | 493 |
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19 | USDCAD | 66 | 493 | |
20 | CADCHF | 42 | 484 | |
21 | AUDCHF | 38 | 438 | |
22 | AUDJPY | 64 | 435 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 36 | 418 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDJPY | 59 | 398 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 31 | 388 | these pairs based on |
26 | NZDCAD | 52 | 386 | their past performance |
27 | AUDCAD | 52 | 385 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 43 | 263 |
|
#E5F8FF
| |||||||
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 29th Jan | Tues 30 | Wed 31 | Thur Feb 1st | Fri 2 |
|
| 1st | GBPNZD or EURNZD | USDCHF or USDJPY | GBPUSD or USDJPY | GBPCAD or GBPJPY | USDJPY or GBPUSD | |
GBPJPY or USDJPY | CHFJPY or GBPUSD | USDCHF or GBPAUD | GBPNZD or GBPUSD | USDCHF or GBPJPY | |||
| 2nd | CHFJPY or GBPUSD | GBPJPY or GBPNZD | GBPCAD, GBPJPY or GBPNZD | GBPAUD or USDJPY | CHFJPY or GBPNZD | |
| |||||||
Smooth Movers
| |||||||
|
Forex Pairs
|
|
Indices
|
| |||
|
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2023-11-24/zhongzhi-one-of-chinas-major-shadow-banks-declares-itself-severely-insolvent.html – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
|
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
Archive - 21st Jan 2024
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| ||||||
MAX NewsWatch List |
| ||||||
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| ||
21st January 2024 |
| ||||||
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| ||||||
All Times are in New York Times |
| ||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
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| ||
N.A. | Sun Jan 21 | 8:20 p.m. |
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N.A. | Sun Jan 21 |
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Monitor | Mon Jan 22 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | NAB Business Confidence |
| ||
Hi Impact | Mon Jan 22 | Tentative | JPY | Monetary Policy Statement |
| ||
Hi Impact | Mon Jan 22 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Policy Rate |
| ||
Hi Impact | Mon Jan 22 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Outlook Report |
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Monitor | Tue Jan 23 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | BOJ Core CPI y/y |
| ||
Hi Impact | Tue Jan 23 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Press Conference |
| ||
All TFs | Tue Jan 23 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | CPI q/q |
| ||
Monitor | Tue Jan 23 | 6:30 p.m. | AUD | MI Leading Index m/m |
| ||
All TFs | Tue Jan 23 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Trade Balance |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Flash Services PMI |
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Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | Tentative | EUR | German Buba Monthly Report |
| ||
Hi Impact | Wed Jan 24 | 9:45 a.m. | CAD | BOC Monetary Policy Report |
| ||
Hi Impact | Wed Jan 24 | 9:45 a.m. | CAD | BOC Rate Statement |
| ||
Hi Impact | Wed Jan 24 | 9:45 a.m. | CAD | Overnight Rate |
| ||
Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Manufacturing PMI |
| ||
Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Flash Services PMI |
| ||
Hi Impact | Wed Jan 24 | 10:30 a.m. | CAD | BOC Press Conference |
| ||
Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
| ||
Monitor | Wed Jan 24 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Bulletin |
| ||
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| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | German ifo Business Climate |
| ||
Hi Impact | Thu Jan 25 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Main Refinancing Rate |
| ||
Hi Impact | Thu Jan 25 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Monetary Policy Statement |
| ||
All TFs | Thu Jan 25 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Advance GDP q/q |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
| ||
All TFs | Thu Jan 25 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Advance GDP Price Index q/q |
| ||
Under H4 | Thu Jan 25 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
| ||
Under H4 | Thu Jan 25 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m |
| ||
Hi Impact | Thu Jan 25 | 8:45 a.m. | EUR | ECB Press Conference |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | New Home Sales |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
| ||
Holiday | Thu Jan 25 | All Day | AUD | Bank Holiday |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
| ||
Monitor | Thu Jan 25 | 7:01 p.m. | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence |
| ||
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|
| ||
Monitor | Fri Jan 26 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German GfK Consumer Climate |
| ||
All TFs | Fri Jan 26 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y |
| ||
All TFs | Fri Jan 26 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |
| ||
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| ||
N.A. | Sat Jan 27 | . |
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| ||
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|
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPJPY | 142 | 957 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | CHFJPY | 126 | 854 | |
3 | USDJPY | 123 | 829 | |
4 | GBPUSD | 79 | 785 | |
5 | GBPNZD | 128 | 782 | |
6 | GBPAUD | 118 | 779 | |
7 | EURJPY | 114 | 768 | |
8 | USDCHF | 66 | 765 | |
9 | GBPCHF | 66 | 761 | |
10 | EURAUD | 102 | 676 | |
11 | GBPCAD | 90 | 669 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURNZD | 106 | 650 | Maybe less profitable, |
13 | EURUSD | 59 | 591 | maybe easier trades? |
14 | EURCHF | 50 | 577 |
|
15 | CADJPY | 85 | 573 |
|
16 | AUDUSD | 55 | 551 |
|
17 | EURCAD | 72 | 539 |
|
18 | CADCHF | 45 | 520 |
|
19 | NZDUSD | 50 | 501 | |
20 | AUDCHF | 43 | 490 | |
21 | USDCAD | 62 | 462 | |
22 | AUDJPY | 67 | 454 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 38 | 437 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDJPY | 61 | 411 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 31 | 396 | these pairs based on |
26 | AUDCAD | 52 | 387 | their past performance |
27 | NZDCAD | 50 | 369 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 39 | 237 |
|
#E5F8FF
| |||||||
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 22nd Jan | Tues 23 | Wed 24 | Thur 25 | Fri 26 |
|
| 1st | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | EURJPY or EURAUD | USDJPY or GBPUSD | |
USDJPY or GBPUSD | USDJPY or EURJPY | USDJPY or EURJPY | USDJPY or GBPUSD | EURJPY or USDCHF | |||
| 2nd | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPNZD or GBPUSD | GBPUSD or GBPNZD | USDCHF or GBPJPY | EURAUD or GBPJPY | |
| |||||||
Smooth Movers
| |||||||
|
Forex Pairs
|
|
Indices
|
| |||
|
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) China – possible deflation setting up – (Updated: 6th Jan 2024, 16 Dec 2023, Added: 13th Aug 2023) https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2023-11-24/zhongzhi-one-of-chinas-major-shadow-banks-declares-itself-severely-insolvent.html – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
|
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) US-Iran Tension Escalation USA Govt Shutdown in March, January? November? – Monitor
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
Archive - 14th Jan 2024
|
| |||||||
MAX NewsWatch List |
| |||||||
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
14th January 2024 |
| |||||||
|
| |||||||
All Times are in New York Times |
| |||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
| |||
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|
| |||
Monitor | Sun Jan 14 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Gauge m/m |
| |||
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| |||
Monitor | Mon Jan 15 | Day 1 | All | WEF Annual Meetings |
| |||
Under H4 | Mon Jan 15 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Industrial Production m/m |
| |||
All TFs | Mon Jan 15 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Trade Balance |
| |||
Monitor | Mon Jan 15 | All Day | EUR | Eurogroup Meetings |
| |||
Holiday | Mon Jan 15 | All Day | USD | Bank Holiday |
| |||
Under H4 | Mon Jan 15 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Manufacturing Sales m/m |
| |||
Under H4 | Mon Jan 15 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Wholesale Sales m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Mon Jan 15 | 10:30 a.m. | CAD | BOC Business Outlook Survey |
| |||
Monitor | Mon Jan 15 | 4:00 p.m. | NZD | NZIER Business Confidence |
| |||
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|
|
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|
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German Final CPI m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Average Earnings Index 3m/y |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | Day 2 | All | WEF Annual Meetings |
| |||
Under H4 | Tue Jan 16 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | German ZEW Economic Sentiment |
| |||
Under H4 | Tue Jan 16 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | ZEW Economic Sentiment |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | 8:15 a.m. | CAD | Housing Starts |
| |||
All TFs | Tue Jan 16 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | CPI m/m |
| |||
All TFs | Tue Jan 16 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core CPI m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | 10:00 a.m. | GBP | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks/Testifies |
| |||
All TFs | Tue Jan 16 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index |
| |||
Monitor | Tue Jan 16 | 9:00 p.m. | CNY | GDP q/y |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | CPI y/y |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Core CPI y/y |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | Day 4 | All | WEF Annual Meetings |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final Core CPI y/y |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Final CPI y/y |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | Tentative | EUR | German 30-y Bond Auction |
| |||
Under H4 | Wed Jan 17 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
| |||
Under H4 | Wed Jan 17 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Retail Sales m/m |
| |||
Under H4 | Wed Jan 17 | 9:15 a.m. | USD | Industrial Production m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Beige Book |
| |||
Monitor | Wed Jan 17 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Expectations |
| |||
Under H4 | Wed Jan 17 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Employment Change |
| |||
Under H4 | Wed Jan 17 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Unemployment Rate |
| |||
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|
| |||
All TFs | Thu Jan 18 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Current Account |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | Day 4 | All | WEF Annual Meetings |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | BOE Credit Conditions Survey |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 7:30 a.m. | EUR | ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
| |||
Under H4 | Thu Jan 18 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Housing Starts |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 11:00 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
| |||
Monitor | Thu Jan 18 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | National Core CPI y/y |
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
Under H4 | Fri Jan 19 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Retail Sales m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Fri Jan 19 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | PPI m/m |
| |||
Monitor | Fri Jan 19 | Day 5 | All | WEF Annual Meetings |
| |||
Under H4 | Fri Jan 19 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m |
| |||
Under H4 | Fri Jan 19 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Retail Sales m/m |
| |||
Under H4 | Fri Jan 19 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment |
| |||
Monitor | Fri Jan 19 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Existing Home Sales |
| |||
Under H4 | Fri Jan 19 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations |
| |||
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|
| |||
N.A. | Sat Jan 20 |
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
| |||
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
| ||||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPJPY | 158 | 1090 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | CHFJPY | 141 | 974 | |
3 | USDJPY | 129 | 889 | |
4 | EURJPY | 127 | 880 | |
5 | GBPUSD | 82 | 822 | |
6 | USDCHF | 69 | 806 | |
7 | GBPCHF | 68 | 795 | |
8 | GBPNZD | 127 | 790 | |
9 | GBPAUD | 118 | 786 | |
10 | GBPCAD | 94 | 705 | |
11 | EURNZD | 106 | 665 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURAUD | 99 | 663 | Possibly less profitable |
13 | CADJPY | 94 | 648 | but possibly easier |
14 | EURUSD | 61 | 608 | to trade. |
15 | EURCHF | 50 | 585 |
|
16 | AUDJPY | 80 | 554 |
|
17 | AUDUSD | 55 | 550 |
|
18 | EURCAD | 74 | 548 |
|
19 | CADCHF | 46 | 539 | |
20 | NZDUSD | 50 | 503 | |
21 | NZDJPY | 72 | 495 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 41 | 476 | Poorer performers: |
23 | USDCAD | 64 | 475 | Much less volatility & |
24 | NZDCHF | 39 | 453 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 33 | 414 | these pairs based on |
26 | AUDCAD | 51 | 382 | their past performance |
27 | NZDCAD | 48 | 358 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 38 | 235 |
|
#E5F8FF
| |||||||
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
| |||||||
| Day | Mon 15th Jan | Tues 16 | Wed 17 | Thur 18 | Fri 19 |
|
| 1st | EURJPY or GBPCAD | EURJPY or GBPCAD | USDJPY or GBPUSD | USDJPY or EURJPY | GBPUSD or GBPCAD | |
GBPJPY or CHFJPY | GBPCAD or GBPJPY | USDCHF or GBPJPY | GBPUSD or USDCHF | GBPJPY or USDCHF | |||
| 2nd | USDJPY or GBPUSD | CHFJPY or USDJPY | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPAUD or GBPJPY | GBPCHF or GBPNZD, GBPAUD | |
| |||||||
Smooth Movers
| |||||||
|
Forex Pairs
|
|
Indices
|
| |||
|
| ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
Ongoing Mid East conflicts
| |
Critical Items
| |
| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) USA Govt Shutdown in January, November? – Monitor November 2023 (Updated: 16 Dec 2023,
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2023-11-24/zhongzhi-one-of-chinas-major-shadow-banks-declares-itself-severely-insolvent.html – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
|
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
Archive - 7th January 2024
|
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| |||||||
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| |||||||
MAX NewsWatch List |
| ||||||||||||
|
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| ||||||||
7th January 2024 |
| ||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||
All Times are in New York Times |
| ||||||||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Cur. | News Event |
| ||||||||
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| |||||||
Holiday | Sun Jan 7 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday |
|
| |||||||
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| |||||||
All TFs | Mon Jan 8 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Mon Jan 8 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Mon Jan 8 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Retail Sales m/m |
|
| |||||||
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| |||||||
Monitor | Tue Jan 9 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Unemployment Rate |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Tue Jan 9 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Trade Balance |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Tue Jan 9 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Trade Balance |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Tue Jan 9 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
|
| |||||||
|
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|
|
|
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| |||||||
Monitor | Wed Jan 10 | 10th-15th | CNY | New Loans |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Wed Jan 10 | 10th-15th | CNY | M2 Money Supply y/y |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Wed Jan 10 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Wed Jan 10 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Wed Jan 10 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 10-y Bond Auction |
|
| |||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB Economic Bulletin |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core CPI m/m |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI m/m |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI y/y |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 30-y Bond Auction |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Budget Balance |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Thu Jan 11 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Current Account |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | CPI y/y |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | PPI y/y |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance |
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Thu Jan 11 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction |
|
| |||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |||||||
Monitor | Fri Jan 12 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | Economy Watchers Sentiment |
|
| |||||||
All TFs | Fri Jan 12 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | GDP m/m |
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Under H4 | Fri Jan 12 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Industrial Production m/m |
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Under H4 | Fri Jan 12 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Manufacturing Production m/m |
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Monitor | Fri Jan 12 | Tentative | GBP | NIESR GDP Estimate |
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Monitor | Fri Jan 12 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PPI m/m |
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Monitor | Fri Jan 12 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | PPI m/m |
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N.A. | Sat Jan 13 |
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The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
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Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
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1 | GBPJPY | 188 | 1299 | Suggested Best Pairs |
2 | CHFJPY | 157 | 1085 | |
3 | EURJPY | 149 | 1026 | |
4 | USDJPY | 147 | 1013 | |
5 | GBPNZD | 151 | 942 | |
6 | GBPAUD | 139 | 935 | |
7 | GBPUSD | 93 | 928 | |
8 | GBPCHF | 75 | 880 | |
9 | USDCHF | 71 | 838 | |
10 | GBPCAD | 106 | 792 | |
11 | EURNZD | 127 | 791 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURAUD | 113 | 757 | Possibly less profitable |
13 | CADJPY | 103 | 711 | but possibly easier |
14 | EURUSD | 70 | 702 | to trade. |
15 | EURCHF | 56 | 655 |
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16 | EURCAD | 84 | 631 |
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17 | AUDUSD | 60 | 597 |
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18 | CADCHF | 48 | 561 |
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19 | AUDCHF | 48 | 560 | |
20 | NZDJPY | 80 | 555 | |
21 | NZDUSD | 55 | 552 | |
22 | AUDJPY | 80 | 551 | Poorer performers: |
23 | NZDCHF | 44 | 516 | Much less volatility & |
24 | USDCAD | 69 | 513 | likely less profit from |
25 | EURGBP | 37 | 477 | these pairs based on |
26 | AUDCAD | 59 | 438 | their past performance |
27 | NZDCAD | 55 | 411 |
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28 | AUDNZD | 40 | 251 |
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#E5F8FF
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Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
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| Day | Mon 8th Jan | Tues 09 | Wed 10 | Thur 12 | Fri Dec 13 |
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| 1st | CHFJPY or GBPCHF | USDJPY or GBPUSD | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | USDJPY or GBPUSD | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | ||
USDCHF or GBPJPY | USDCHF or GBPCAD | EURJPY or USDJPY | USDCHF or GBPJPY | EURJPY or USDJPY | ||||
| 2nd | EURJPY or USDJPY | GBPJPY or CHFJPY | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | CHFJPY or EURJPY | GBPNZD, GBPUSD or GBPAUD | ||
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Smooth Movers
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Forex Pairs
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Indices
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Ongoing Mid East conflicts
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Critical Items
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| All Countries– Inflation (Added: 30th April 2023)
USSR/Ukraine – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 & 2021))
(Update: 14 Oct 2023, 22 Aug 21) USA Govt Shutdown in January, November? – Monitor November 2023 (Updated: 16 Dec 2023,
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1235581-china-new-loans-plunge-to-2009-low-in?&highlight=china
Silicon Valley Bank collapse + contagion? (Updated 18 March 2023, Added: 11 March 2023) Monitor: Still ongoing impacts in US & includes the global banking system. BRICs – 5 more countries have joined (Added: 11 March 2023)
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 25 Nov 2023, 19 Aug 2023 & 26 Aug 21) https://english.elpais.com/economy-and-business/2023-11-24/zhongzhi-one-of-chinas-major-shadow-banks-declares-itself-severely-insolvent.html – Evergrande has filed for bankruptcy in the US https://www.reuters.com/legal/china-evergrande-files-chapter-15-bankruptcy-us-court-filing-2023-08-17/
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Important Items
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US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
USSR Leadership issues – Monitor (Added: 1st July 2023)
USSR/Balkin states – Monitor (Added 1 Oct 2023)
Banks under Scrutiny by ECB – (Added: 4th December 2022) US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
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Ongoing Items
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Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
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