. . . from ages ago to 2022 Archive
NewsWatch & Best Pairs Lists
Archive of Date 2022
Archive of 18 Dec 2022
This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists
Week starting 18th December 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 144 | 1444 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 189 | 1381 | |
3 | GBPJPY | 165 | 1209 | |
4 | GBPCAD | 163 | 1187 | |
5 | CHFJPY | 153 | 1117 | |
6 | GBPAUD | 163 | 1090 | |
7 | EURJPY | 148 | 1083 | |
8 | EURUSD | 103 | 1031 | |
9 | EURAUD | 153 | 1022 | |
10 | GBPNZD | 160 | 1020 | |
11 | EURNZD | 159 | 1013 | Less stressful? |
12 | GBPCHF | 92 | 987 | |
13 | USDCHF | 89 | 955 | |
14 | CADJPY | 127 | 931 | |
15 | AUDUSD | 92 | 923 | |
16 | EURCAD | 122 | 890 | |
17 | NZDUSD | 87 | 872 | |
18 | USDCAD | 116 | 849 |
|
19 | EURGBP | 62 | 758 |
|
20 | AUDCHF | 64 | 684 |
"Poorer performers Much less volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."
|
21 | NZDCAD | 92 | 669 | |
22 | CADCHF | 62 | 660 | |
23 | EURCHF | 61 | 651 | |
24 | AUDJPY | 89 | 651 | |
25 | NZDCHF | 59 | 628 | |
26 | AUDCAD | 84 | 614 | |
27 | NZDJPY | 81 | 596 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 72 | 456 |
|
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD | CHFJPY | GBPUSD | GBPUSD | GBPUSD |
USDJPY | USDJPY | EURUSD | GBPCAD | EURUSD | |
2nd Choices | GBPCAD | EURAUD, EURUSD | GBPJPY | GBPNZD | GBPJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
Here are Eusebio's ideas on
for the week
MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook |
No outlook until Mid January |
Note: These are not predictions, just . . .
Remember,
1. The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts
provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications,
2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription
provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and
* This Week’s Trading Ideas: | ||
|
| |
| __________________________ Best Trading Ideas: | |
| Long: EURAUD, GBPAUD, EURCAD, GBPCAD
Short: AUDJPY, AUDCHF, CADJPY, CHFJPY | |
|
| |
|
Other Trading Ideas: | |
| |
Reasonable Short Trades |
|
|
|
-------------------------------
Take advantage of retracements
and re-enter into the Bias Direction.
FX Currencies Strengths Worksheet | ||
| ||
Currency | Current Strength | Expected Bias Direction |
EUR | +3 | Short then Long |
GBP | +2 | Long then Short |
CHF | +2 | Long |
JPY | +1 | Long |
NZD | 0 | Short |
USD | 0 | Long |
AUD | -2 | Short |
CAD | -4 | Short |
| ||
Other Instruments/Markets | ||
| ||
Instrument | - | Bias Direction |
|
|
|
Stock Market (Indices) | - | Short |
Oil | - | Short |
Gold/Silver | - | Short |
BitCoin | - | Short |
*
Background:
Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies
The table is a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another. It is a snapshot of how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.
Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction.
We try to include that info here.
E.g.
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
“NZD 0 Neutral” =
Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is expected to weaken thru the week
“CAD -3 Short” =
Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.
“CHF +3 Long” =
Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
0 – movement
(Risk Off = Big Boys are more likely to Buy the “Safe Havens” - JPY, CHF, USD & maybe EUR, as less risky currencies)
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
Archive of 11 Dec 2022
MAX NewsWatch List | ||||||||
| ||||||||
Market Opens: Tokyo 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am | ||||||||
All Times are in New York Times | ||||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event | ||||
N A | Sun Dec 11 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Visitor Arrivals m/m | ||||
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All TFs | Mon Dec 12 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | GDP m/m | ||||
Monitor | Mon Dec 12 | Tentative | GBP | NIESR GDP Estimate | ||||
Monitor | Mon Dec 12 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 10-y Bond Auction | ||||
Monitor | Mon Dec 12 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Budget Balance | ||||
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Under H4 | Tue Dec 13 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | German ZEW Economic Sentiment | ||||
Under H4 | Tue Dec 13 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | ZEW Economic Sentiment | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 13 | 5:30 a.m. | GBP | BOE Financial Stability Report | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 13 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 13 | 6:00 a.m. | GBP | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 13 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI m/m OPEN HOUSE | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 13 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core CPI m/m | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 13 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 30-y Bond Auction | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 13 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Current Account | ||||
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Monitor | Wed Dec 14 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | CPI y/y | ||||
Monitor | Wed Dec 14 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Core CPI y/y | ||||
Monitor | Wed Dec 14 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 14 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Economic Projections | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 14 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Statement | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 14 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Funds Rate | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 14 | 2:30 p.m. | USD | FOMC Press Conference | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 14 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | GDP q/q | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 14 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Trade Balance | ||||
Monitor | Wed Dec 14 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Expectations | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 14 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Employment Change | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 14 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Unemployment Rate | ||||
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Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 3:30 a.m. | CHF | SNB Monetary Policy Assessment | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 3:30 a.m. | CHF | SNB Policy Rate | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | SNB Press Conference | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | MPC Official Bank Rate Votes | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | Monetary Policy Summary | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 7:00 a.m. | GBP | Official Bank Rate | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Main Refinancing Rate | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Monetary Policy Statement | ||||
Under H4 | Thu Dec 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | ||||
Under H4 | Thu Dec 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Retail Sales m/m | ||||
Under H4 | Thu Dec 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 15 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims | ||||
Hi Impact | Thu Dec 15 | 8:45 a.m. | EUR | ECB Press Conference | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 15 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 15 | 7:01 p.m. | GBP | GfK Consumer Confidence | ||||
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Under H4 | Fri Dec 16 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Flash Manufacturing PMI | ||||
Under H4 | Fri Dec 16 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Flash Services PMI | ||||
All TFs | Fri Dec 16 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Trade Balance | ||||
Monitor | Fri Dec 16 | Tentative | GBP | BOE Quarterly Bulletin | ||||
Under H4 | Fri Dec 16 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Wholesale Sales m/m | ||||
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N.A. | Sat Dec 17 |
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|
This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists
Week starting 11th December 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 146 | 1464 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 182 | 1336 | |
3 | GBPCAD | 171 | 1253 | |
4 | GBPJPY | 158 | 1158 | |
5 | GBPAUD | 167 | 1137 | |
6 | EURUSD | 106 | 1062 | |
7 | GBPNZD | 161 | 1034 | |
8 | EURJPY | 141 | 1033 | |
9 | CHFJPY | 140 | 1028 | |
10 | GBPCHF | 95 | 1015 | |
11 | EURAUD | 143 | 970 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURNZD | 151 | 969 | |
13 | USDCHF | 89 | 953 | |
14 | CADJPY | 125 | 915 | |
15 | EURCAD | 122 | 897 | |
16 | AUDUSD | 87 | 866 | |
17 | USDCAD | 117 | 859 | |
18 | NZDUSD | 85 | 854 |
|
19 | EURGBP | 65 | 802 |
|
20 | AUDJPY | 94 | 686 |
"Poorer performers Much less volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."
|
21 | EURCHF | 63 | 672 | |
22 | NZDCAD | 90 | 661 | |
23 | CADCHF | 61 | 652 | |
24 | AUDCHF | 60 | 641 | |
25 | NZDJPY | 85 | 624 | |
26 | NZDCHF | 56 | 604 | |
27 | AUDCAD | 80 | 586 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 68 | 437 |
|
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD | EURUSD | USDJPY, GBPUSD | GBPUSD | GBPUSD |
GBPJPY | USDJPY | GBPNZD | GBPJPY | GBPJPY, EURUSD | |
2nd Choices | GBPNZD | EURJPY | GBPJPY | EURUSD, CHFJPY | GBPNZD, EURJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
Here are Eusebio's ideas on
for the week
MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook |
|
Note: These are not predictions, just . . .
Remember,
1. The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts
provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications,
2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription
provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and
* This Week’s Trading Ideas: | ||
| No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision Wednesday * NFP could Change the directions | |
| __________________________ Best Trading Ideas: | |
| Long: No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision Wednesday
Short: | |
| *
| |
|
Other Trading Ideas: | |
|
|
Reasonable Short Trades
|
|
| Long trade possibilities
Short trade possibilities
|
-------------------------------
Take advantage of retracements
and re-enter into the Bias Direction.
FX Currencies Strengths Worksheet | ||
| ||
Currency | Current Strength | Expected Bias Direction |
GBP | +2 | Short * |
EUR | +2 | Short* |
NZD | +1 | Long* |
JPY | +1 | Long* |
CHF | +1 | Undefined* |
USD | -1 | Long* |
AUD | -2 | Short* |
CAD | -4 | Short* |
* These Bias Directions are based on the USD going stronger/long, but if it weakens, then expect GBP, EUR, JPY, CHF, AUD CAD Long.
| ||
Other Instruments/Markets | ||
| ||
Instrument | - | Bias Direction |
|
|
|
Stock Market (Indices) | - | Short* |
Oil | - | Short* |
Gold/Silver | - | Short* |
BitCoin | - | Short* |
* These Bias Directions are based on the USD going stronger/long, but if it weakens, then expect GBP, EUR, JPY, CHF, AUD CAD Long.
Background:
Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies
The table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.
Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.
Usage:
It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.
E.g.
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
“NZD 0 Neutral” =
Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is expected to weaken thru the week
“CAD -3 Short” =
Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.
“CHF +3 Long” =
Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
0 – movement
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists
Week starting 4th December 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 175 | 1748 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 218 | 1624 | |
3 | GBPCAD | 188 | 1393 | |
4 | GBPJPY | 186 | 1387 | |
5 | GBPCHF | 118 | 1264 | |
6 | EURUSD | 125 | 1247 | |
7 | USDCHF | 110 | 1171 | |
8 | GBPAUD | 171 | 1165 | |
9 | CHFJPY | 155 | 1152 | |
10 | EURJPY | 153 | 1137 | |
11 | GBPNZD | 174 | 1118 | Less stressful? |
12 | CADJPY | 135 | 1002 | |
13 | AUDUSD | 98 | 981 | |
14 | EURNZD | 153 | 981 | |
15 | NZDUSD | 96 | 960 | |
16 | EURAUD | 138 | 941 | |
17 | EURCAD | 123 | 915 | |
18 | EURGBP | 73 | 902 |
|
19 | USDCAD | 120 | 892 |
|
20 | EURCHF | 70 | 746 |
"Poorer performers Much less volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."
|
21 | AUDJPY | 100 | 744 | |
22 | CADCHF | 67 | 716 | |
23 | NZDJPY | 93 | 691 | |
24 | AUDCHF | 65 | 690 | |
25 | NZDCAD | 92 | 683 | |
26 | AUDCAD | 87 | 647 | |
27 | NZDCHF | 60 | 641 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 72 | 461 |
|
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD | GBPAUD | GBPAUD | GBPAUD | EURUSD |
GBPJPY | GBPUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | USDCHF | |
2nd Choices | EURUSD, GBPAUD | USDJPY | GBPCHF | GBPCHF | GBPJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
FDF1FC
#FFFFF3
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
MAX NewsWatch List | ||||||||
4th December 2022
| ||||||||
Market Opens: Tokyo 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am | ||||||||
All Times are in New York Times | ||||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event | ||||
Monitor | Sun Dec 4 | All Day | All | OPEC-JMMC Meetings | ||||
Monitor | Sun Dec 4 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Services PMI | ||||
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Monitor | Mon Dec 5 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Services PMI | ||||
All TFs | Mon Dec 5 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Current Account | ||||
Hi Impact | Mon Dec 5 | 10:30 p.m. | AUD | Cash Rate | ||||
Hi Impact | Mon Dec 5 | 10:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Rate Statement | ||||
Monitor | Mon Dec 5 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction | ||||
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Under H4 | Tue Dec 6 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Construction PMI | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 6 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 6 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Trade Balance | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 6 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Trade Balance | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 6 | Tentative | NZD | GDT Price Index | ||||
All TFs | Tue Dec 6 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | GDP q/q | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 6 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance | ||||
Monitor | Tue Dec 6 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance | ||||
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Under H4 | Wed Dec 7 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 7 | 10:00 a.m. | CAD | BOC Rate Statement | ||||
Hi Impact | Wed Dec 7 | 10:00 a.m. | CAD | Overnight Rate | ||||
Monitor | Wed Dec 7 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 7 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Current Account | ||||
Monitor | Wed Dec 7 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | RBA Bulletin | ||||
All TFs | Wed Dec 7 | 7:30 p.m. | AUD | Trade Balance | ||||
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Holiday | Thu Dec 8 | All Day | EUR | Italian Bank Holiday | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 8 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 8 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 8 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | CPI y/y | ||||
Monitor | Thu Dec 8 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | PPI y/y | ||||
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Monitor | Fri Dec 9 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Consumer Inflation Expectations | ||||
Monitor | Fri Dec 9 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PPI m/m | ||||
Monitor | Fri Dec 9 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | PPI m/m | ||||
All TFs | Fri Dec 9 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | ||||
All TFs | Fri Dec 9 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | ||||
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na | Sat Dec 10 |
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This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists
Week starting 4th December 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 175 | 1748 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 218 | 1624 | |
3 | GBPCAD | 188 | 1393 | |
4 | GBPJPY | 186 | 1387 | |
5 | GBPCHF | 118 | 1264 | |
6 | EURUSD | 125 | 1247 | |
7 | USDCHF | 110 | 1171 | |
8 | GBPAUD | 171 | 1165 | |
9 | CHFJPY | 155 | 1152 | |
10 | EURJPY | 153 | 1137 | |
11 | GBPNZD | 174 | 1118 | Less stressful? |
12 | CADJPY | 135 | 1002 | |
13 | AUDUSD | 98 | 981 | |
14 | EURNZD | 153 | 981 | |
15 | NZDUSD | 96 | 960 | |
16 | EURAUD | 138 | 941 | |
17 | EURCAD | 123 | 915 | |
18 | EURGBP | 73 | 902 |
|
19 | USDCAD | 120 | 892 |
|
20 | EURCHF | 70 | 746 |
"Poorer performers Much less volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."
|
21 | AUDJPY | 100 | 744 | |
22 | CADCHF | 67 | 716 | |
23 | NZDJPY | 93 | 691 | |
24 | AUDCHF | 65 | 690 | |
25 | NZDCAD | 92 | 683 | |
26 | AUDCAD | 87 | 647 | |
27 | NZDCHF | 60 | 641 |
|
28 | AUDNZD | 72 | 461 |
|
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD | GBPAUD | GBPAUD | GBPAUD | EURUSD |
GBPJPY | GBPUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | USDCHF | |
2nd Choices | EURUSD, GBPAUD | USDJPY | GBPCHF | GBPCHF | GBPJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
FDF1FC
#FFFFF3
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
MAX NewsWatch List | ||||
27th November 2022
| ||||
Market Opens: Tokyo 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am | ||||
All Times are in New York Times | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event |
All TFs | Mon Nov 28 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Current Account |
Monitor | Mon Nov 28 | 9:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB President Lagarde Speaks |
|
|
|
|
|
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Nov 29 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | GDP q/q |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 10:00 a.m. | GBP | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
|
|
|
|
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Under H4 | Wed Nov 30 | 8:15 a.m. | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
All TFs | Wed Nov 30 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP q/q |
All TFs | Wed Nov 30 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP Price Index q/q |
Under H4 | Wed Nov 30 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Chicago PMI |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Beige Book |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
|
|
|
|
|
Under H4 | Thu Dec 1 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m |
All TFs | Thu Dec 1 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | EUR | French 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | GBP | 30-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Thu Dec 1 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
|
|
|
|
|
Under H4 | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Employment Change |
Under H4 | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Unemployment Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Non-Farm Employment Change |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:32 a.m. | USD | Revision - NFP |
|
|
|
|
|
NA | Sat Dec 3 |
|
|
|
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
Week starting 27th November 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 179 | 1790 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 206 | 1481 | |
3 | GBPJPY | 187 | 1347 | |
4 | GBPCAD | 176 | 1318 | |
5 | GBPCHF | 121 | 1275 | |
6 | EURUSD | 127 | 1268 | |
7 | GBPNZD | 199 | 1245 | |
8 | USDCHF | 117 | 1235 | |
9 | GBPAUD | 178 | 1203 | |
10 | EURJPY | 145 | 1045 | |
11 | AUDUSD | 104 | 1043 | Less stressful? |
12 | CHFJPY | 145 | 1039 | |
13 | NZDUSD | 99 | 995 | |
14 | EURNZD | 151 | 946 | |
15 | USDCAD | 125 | 936 | |
16 | EURGBP | 75 | 903 | |
17 | EURAUD | 133 | 899 | |
18 | CADJPY | 118 | 848 | Poorer performers |
19 | EURCAD | 107 | 801 | |
20 | EURCHF | 67 | 705 | |
21 | AUDJPY | 97 | 698 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 64 | 676 | |
23 | NZDJPY | 92 | 661 | |
24 | CADCHF | 62 | 652 | |
25 | NZDCAD | 84 | 625 | |
26 | AUDCAD | 83 | 620 | |
27 | NZDCHF | 59 | 619 | |
28 | AUDNZD | 71 | 443 |
1
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | EURUSD | GBPCHF | GBPUSD | GBPUSD, | GBPUSD |
EURJPY | GBPUSD | EURUSD | USDJPY | EURUSD | |
2nd Choices | USDJPY | USDJPY | GBPJPY | EURUSD | GBPJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
FDF1FC
#FFFFF3
Here are Eusebio's ideas on
for the week
MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook |
|
Note: These are not predictions, just . . .
Remember,
1. The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts
provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications,
2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription
provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and
* This Week’s Trading Ideas: | ||
| A week of Risk OFF & Choppy | |
| __________________________ Best Trading Ideas: | |
| Long: EURCAD, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPAUD
Short: CADJPY, CADCHF, AUDJPY | |
|
| |
|
Other Trading Ideas: | |
|
|
Reasonable Short Trades
|
|
| Long trade possibilities
Short trade possibilities
|
-------------------------------
Take advantage of retracements
and re-enter into the Bias Direction.
FX Currencies | ||
| ||
Currency | Current Strength | Expected Bias Direction |
CHF | +2 | Short then Long* |
EUR | +2 | Neutral then Short* |
NZD | +1 | Short |
JPY | +1 | Short then Long* |
GBP | +1 | Long then Short* |
USD | -1 | Long |
AUD | -1 | Long then Short* |
CAD | -3 | Long then Short* |
* *NFP could cause a change of the directions
| ||
Other Instruments/Markets | ||
| ||
Instrument | - | Bias Direction |
|
|
|
Stock Market (Indices) | - | Short |
Oil | - | Short |
Gold/Silver | - | Long |
BitCoin | - | Long then Short* |
* NFP could cause a change of the directions
Background:
Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies
The table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.
Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.
Usage:
It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.
E.g.
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
“NZD 0 Neutral” =
Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is expected to weaken thru the week
“CAD -3 Short” =
Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.
“CHF +3 Long” =
Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
0 – movement
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
MAX NewsWatch List | ||||
27th November 2022
| ||||
Market Opens: Tokyo 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am | ||||
All Times are in New York Times | ||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event |
All TFs | Mon Nov 28 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Current Account |
Monitor | Mon Nov 28 | 9:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB President Lagarde Speaks |
|
|
|
|
|
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m |
All TFs | Tue Nov 29 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | GDP q/q |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 10:00 a.m. | GBP | BOE Gov Bailey Speaks |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Tue Nov 29 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
|
|
|
|
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Under H4 | Wed Nov 30 | 8:15 a.m. | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
All TFs | Wed Nov 30 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP q/q |
All TFs | Wed Nov 30 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Prelim GDP Price Index q/q |
Under H4 | Wed Nov 30 | 9:45 a.m. | USD | Chicago PMI |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Beige Book |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 8:45 p.m. | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Wed Nov 30 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 10-y Bond Auction |
|
|
|
|
|
Under H4 | Thu Dec 1 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m |
All TFs | Thu Dec 1 | 2:30 a.m. | CHF | CPI m/m |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | EUR | Spanish 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | EUR | French 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | Tentative | GBP | 30-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Thu Dec 1 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Monitor | Thu Dec 1 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
|
|
|
|
|
Under H4 | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Employment Change |
Under H4 | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Unemployment Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Non-Farm Employment Change |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Dec 2 | 8:32 a.m. | USD | Revision - NFP |
|
|
|
|
|
NA | Sat Dec 3 |
|
|
|
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
Week starting 27th November 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________________________________________
The Top Pairs List |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 179 | 1790 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 206 | 1481 | |
3 | GBPJPY | 187 | 1347 | |
4 | GBPCAD | 176 | 1318 | |
5 | GBPCHF | 121 | 1275 | |
6 | EURUSD | 127 | 1268 | |
7 | GBPNZD | 199 | 1245 | |
8 | USDCHF | 117 | 1235 | |
9 | GBPAUD | 178 | 1203 | |
10 | EURJPY | 145 | 1045 | |
11 | AUDUSD | 104 | 1043 | Less stressful? |
12 | CHFJPY | 145 | 1039 | |
13 | NZDUSD | 99 | 995 | |
14 | EURNZD | 151 | 946 | |
15 | USDCAD | 125 | 936 | |
16 | EURGBP | 75 | 903 | |
17 | EURAUD | 133 | 899 | |
18 | CADJPY | 118 | 848 | Poorer performers |
19 | EURCAD | 107 | 801 | |
20 | EURCHF | 67 | 705 | |
21 | AUDJPY | 97 | 698 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 64 | 676 | |
23 | NZDJPY | 92 | 661 | |
24 | CADCHF | 62 | 652 | |
25 | NZDCAD | 84 | 625 | |
26 | AUDCAD | 83 | 620 | |
27 | NZDCHF | 59 | 619 | |
28 | AUDNZD | 71 | 443 |
1
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs for each day |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | EURUSD | GBPCHF | GBPUSD | GBPUSD, | GBPUSD |
EURJPY | GBPUSD | EURUSD | USDJPY | EURUSD | |
2nd Choices | USDJPY | USDJPY | GBPJPY | EURUSD | GBPJPY |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
FDF1FC
#FFFFF3
Here are Eusebio's ideas on
for the week
MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook |
|
Note: These are not predictions, just . . .
Remember,
1. The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts
provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications,
2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription
provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and
* This Week’s Trading Ideas: | ||
| A week of Risk OFF & Choppy | |
| __________________________ Best Trading Ideas: | |
| Long: EURCAD, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPAUD
Short: CADJPY, CADCHF, AUDJPY | |
|
| |
|
Other Trading Ideas: | |
|
|
Reasonable Short Trades
|
|
| Long trade possibilities
Short trade possibilities
|
-------------------------------
Take advantage of retracements
and re-enter into the Bias Direction.
FX Currencies | ||
| ||
Currency | Current Strength | Expected Bias Direction |
CHF | +2 | Short then Long* |
EUR | +2 | Neutral then Short* |
NZD | +1 | Short |
JPY | +1 | Short then Long* |
GBP | +1 | Long then Short* |
USD | -1 | Long |
AUD | -1 | Long then Short* |
CAD | -3 | Long then Short* |
* *NFP could cause a change of the directions
| ||
Other Instruments/Markets | ||
| ||
Instrument | - | Bias Direction |
|
|
|
Stock Market (Indices) | - | Short |
Oil | - | Short |
Gold/Silver | - | Long |
BitCoin | - | Long then Short* |
* NFP could cause a change of the directions
Background:
Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies
The table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.
Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.
Usage:
It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.
E.g.
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
“NZD 0 Neutral” =
Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is expected to weaken thru the week
“CAD -3 Short” =
Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.
“CHF +3 Long” =
Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
0 – movement
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
MAX NewsWatch List 20th November 2022 |
| ||||||||
Market Opens: Tokyo 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am |
| ||||||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event |
| ||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
NA | Sun Nov 20 |
|
|
| |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
All TFs | Mon Nov 21 | 4:45 p.m. | NZD | Trade Balance | |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
Monitor | Tue Nov 22 | 12:00 a.m. | JPY | BOJ Core CPI y/y | |||||
All TFs | Tue Nov 22 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | Current Account | |||||
Under H4 | Tue Nov 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Core Retail Sales m/m | |||||
Under H4 | Tue Nov 22 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | Retail Sales m/m | |||||
Holiday | Tue Nov 22 | All Day | JPY | Bank Holiday | |||||
Hi Impact | Tue Nov 22 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | Official Cash Rate | |||||
Hi Impact | Tue Nov 22 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement | |||||
Hi Impact | Tue Nov 22 | 8:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Rate Statement | |||||
Hi Impact | Tue Nov 22 | 9:00 p.m. | NZD | RBNZ Press Conference | |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
Under H4 | Wed Nov 23 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Flash Manufacturing PMI | |||||
Under H4 | Wed Nov 23 | 4:30 a.m. | GBP | Flash Services PMI | |||||
Monitor | Wed Nov 23 | Tentative | EUR | German 30-y Bond Auction | |||||
Under H4 | Wed Nov 23 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m | |||||
Under H4 | Wed Nov 23 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m | |||||
Monitor | Wed Nov 23 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims | |||||
Monitor | Wed Nov 23 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | |||||
Monitor | Wed Nov 23 | 12:00 p.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage | |||||
Monitor | Wed Nov 23 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | FOMC Meeting Minutes | |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
Monitor | Thu Nov 24 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | German ifo Business Climate | |||||
Holiday | Thu Nov 24 | All Day | USD | Bank Holiday | |||||
Monitor | Thu Nov 24 | 6:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y | |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
Monitor | Fri Nov 25 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German GfK Consumer Climate | |||||
|
|
|
|
| |||||
n a | Sat Nov 26 |
|
|
|
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
Week starting 20th November 2022
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,
as they are more likely to move this week.
________________________________________________________________
The Top Pairs List, ordered most expensive to cheapest |
|
| ||
Last week | Pair | Avg Daily | Avg Daily |
|
1 | GBPUSD | 190 | 1899 | Suggested |
2 | USDJPY | 213 | 1516 | |
3 | GBPJPY | 202 | 1442 | |
4 | GBPCAD | 189 | 1414 | |
5 | GBPNZD | 226 | 1394 | |
6 | GBPCHF | 129 | 1349 | |
7 | EURUSD | 133 | 1333 | |
8 | GBPAUD | 199 | 1326 | |
9 | USDCHF | 120 | 1252 | |
10 | AUDUSD | 113 | 1130 | |
11 | EURNZD | 175 | 1078 | Less stressful? |
12 | EURJPY | 151 | 1073 | |
13 | NZDUSD | 106 | 1056 | |
14 | CHFJPY | 144 | 1028 | |
15 | EURAUD | 154 | 1028 | |
16 | USDCAD | 137 | 1020 | |
17 | EURGBP | 80 | 949 | |
18 | EURCAD | 119 | 887 | Poorer performers |
19 | CADJPY | 119 | 847 | |
20 | AUDJPY | 105 | 746 | |
21 | EURCHF | 70 | 735 | |
22 | AUDCHF | 67 | 703 | |
23 | NZDJPY | 98 | 699 | |
24 | AUDCAD | 89 | 663 | |
25 | NZDCHF | 63 | 657 | |
26 | NZDCAD | 87 | 647 | |
27 | CADCHF | 61 | 641 | |
28 | AUDNZD | 74 | 456 |
1
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs |
|
|
| ||
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD | GBPCAD, GBPNZD | GBPNZD | GBPUSD | GBPUSD |
GBPJPY | GBPUSD | GBPJPY | GBPJPY | GBPJPY | |
2nd Choices | GBPCAD | GBPJPY | GBPCHF, | GBPNZD, | GBPNZD, |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs
Forex Pairs
|
| Indices Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.
|
________________________________________________________________
FDF1FC
#FFFFF3
Here are Eusebio's ideas on
Currency & Instrument
Strengths and Directions
for the week
20th November 2022
We are trialling a different way of representing the possible Biases, let us know if you have any suggestions.
Remember,
1. The Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts
provide immediate(ish) indications,
2. The table below is for weekly ideas, and
3. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription
provides a intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
This table is just a work sheet for your information.
This table shows how things are at the moment, & Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.
Use the extremes currencies against one another in the chart for your analysis (if you are doing analysis)
E.G. AUD USD – are both currently weak, so don’t expect big moves from shorting AUDUSD, & expect similar lack of movement for the rest of week as well
On contrary shorting CADCHF should yield good Opportunities Short.
& expecting it to stay that way for the week.
FX Currencies | ||
| ||
Currency | Current Strength vs other currencies | Expected Bias Direction |
|
|
|
CHF | +3
| Long |
EUR | +2 | Long |
JPY | +1 | Long |
NZD | 0 | Short |
GBP | 0 | Neutral |
USD | -1 Weak Short | Long |
AUD | -1 | Short |
CAD | -3 | Short |
| ||
Other Instruments/Markets | ||
| ||
Instrument | - | Bias Direction |
|
|
|
Stock Market (Indices) | - | Short |
Oil | - | Short |
Gold/Silver | - | Long |
BitCoin | - | Short |
* Notes: | ||
| A week of Risk OFF still | |
|
Best Trading Ideas: | |
|
NZD – Wait for RBNZ, Hi Impact, Wed 23rd * Hawkish – Optimistic | |
|
| |
|
Other Trading Ideas: | |
|
|
Reasonable Short Trades |
|
|
Short trade possibilities
|
-------------------------------
Take advantage of retracements
and re-enter into the Bias Direction.
Table Interpretation:
Strength
shows the current Direction & Strength of the currency.
Expected Bias Direction
Shows what the currency is expected to do through the week.
E.g.
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
“NZD 0 Neutral” =
Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is expected to weaken thru the week
“CAD -3 Short” =
Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.
“CHF +3 Long” =
Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week
“USD -1 Long” =
Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.
0 – movement
-1, +1 =
-2, +2 =
| |
Critical Items
| |
|
All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021)) Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
US vs China– Monitor Trade war
US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)
China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21) |
|
Important Items
| |
|
US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022)
US-Iran Tension Escalation
EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
|
Ongoing Items
| |
|
Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, - 14 Feb 2021)
German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.
|
|
News Watch – Week of 5th Nov 2022
Be Aware of & Monitor these Longer Term Issues Last Check/Update – 5th November Last modified 30th Oct (US Mid Term Elections) | |
Critical Items – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact | |
| All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus – Monitor for business changes/closures as lockdowns start to expire – Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021)) Beware – this conflict is escalating Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022) Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls US vs China– Monitor Trade war Pay attention to any escalation US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Updated 30th Oct 2022) Held on 8th November 2022 China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21) Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy (22 Aug 2021) Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21) |
Important Items – Impact: Medium Term Impact | |||
| US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022) Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top | ||
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/ | |||
US-Iran Tension Escalation China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression as per Chinese general saying military action is considered EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021) after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit? European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic via EU Council meeting relationships degrading – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling | |||
| for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships, & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/ China/Hong Kong – Monitor EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled Additional EU Entrants possible? Syria – Could disrupt in the markets Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End |
|
Ongoing Items – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions | |
| Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, 14 Feb 2021) Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency Influence of terrorism on production has risen. German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for possible future ramifications for stability – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers. Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21) Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE) Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border |
|
________________
MAX NewsWatch List
Opens: Tokyo – 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times | |||||
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event | |
Monitor | Sun Nov 6 | 2:00 a.m. | CAD | Daylight Saving Time Shift | |
Monitor | Sun Nov 6 | 2:00 a.m. | USD | Daylight Saving Time Shift | |
Monitor | Sun Nov 6 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance | |
Monitor | Sun Nov 6 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance |
Under H4 | Mon Nov 7 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m |
Monitor | Mon Nov 7 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | BOJ Summary of Opinions |
Monitor | Mon Nov 7 | 9:00 p.m. | NZD | Inflation Expectations q/q |
Monitor | Tue Nov 8 | All Day | USD | Congressional Elections |
All TFs | Tue Nov 8 | 6:50 p.m. | JPY | Current Account |
Monitor | Tue Nov 8 | 8:30 p.m. | CNY | CPI y/y |
Monitor | Tue Nov 8 | 10:35 p.m. | JPY | 30-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Nov 9 | Tentative | GBP | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Nov 9 | Tentative | EUR | German 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Nov 9 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Monitor | Wed Nov 9 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 10-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Wed Nov 9 | 7:00 p.m. | AUD | MI Inflation Expectations |
Monitor | Thu Nov 10 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | ECB Economic Bulletin |
All TFs | Thu Nov 10 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | CPI m/m |
All TFs | Thu Nov 10 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core CPI m/m |
Monitor | Thu Nov 10 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Monitor | Thu Nov 10 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Nov 10 | 1:01 p.m. | USD | 30-y Bond Auction |
Monitor | Thu Nov 10 | 2:00 p.m. | USD | Federal Budget Balance |
All TFs | Fri Nov 11 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | GDP m/m |
All TFs | Fri Nov 11 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Prelim GDP q/q |
Under H4 | Fri Nov 11 | 2:00 a.m. | GBP | Manufacturing Production m/m |
Holiday | Fri Nov 11 | All Day | EUR | French Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Fri Nov 11 | 5:00 a.m. | EUR | EU Economic Forecasts |
Monitor | Fri Nov 11 | All Day | EUR | ECOFIN Meetings |
Holiday | Fri Nov 11 | All Day | CAD | Bank Holiday |
Holiday | Fri Nov 11 | All Day | USD | Bank Holiday |
Monitor | Fri Nov 11 | Tentative | GBP | NIESR GDP Estimate |
Under H4 | Fri Nov 11 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment |
Under H4 | Fri Nov 11 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations |
na | Sat Nov 12 | | | |
________________________________________________________________
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pair | Avg Daily Pip Range | Avg Daily $ Range | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs |
| | | | |
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choice s | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | USDCAD, AUDUSD or EURUSD | GBPUSD or EURUSD |
| Be careful – US Mid Term Elections could | | | Recommended – no trading the US | |
|
| cause volatility today |
|
| Session due to holiday |
GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | USDCAD or AUDUSD | |
| | | | | |
2nd Choice | GBPCAD or GBPCHF | GBPCAD or GBPCHF | GBPCAD or GBPCHF | GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPJPY, GBPNZD or GBPAUD |
| |
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade
Forex Pairs Indices
If you are uncomfortable with the Consider trading these indices, too.
faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.
Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress. info.
• USDJPY
Some brokers allow trading the
NZDUSD Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more
USDCHF info.
DAX
EURAUD • DOW Jones
NASDAQ
EURJPY
S&P 500
EURGBP
CHFJPY
AUDJPY
• NZDJPY
________________________________________________________________
News Watch – Week of 30th Oct 2022
Be Aware of & Monitor these Longer Term Issues Last Check/Update – 30th October 2022 Last modified 30th Oct (US Mid Term Elections) | |
Critical Items – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact | |
| All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus – Monitor for business changes/closures as lockdowns start to expire – Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021)) Beware – this conflict is escalating Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022) Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls US vs China– Monitor Trade war Pay attention to any escalation US Mid Term Elections – Monitor (Updated 30th Oct 2022) Held on 8th November 2022 China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21) Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy (22 Aug 2021) Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21) |
Important Items – Impact: Medium Term Impact | |||
| US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022) Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top | ||
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/ | |||
US-Iran Tension Escalation China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression as per Chinese general saying military action is considered EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021) after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit? European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic via EU Council meeting relationships degrading – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships, & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/ | |||
| China/Hong Kong – Monitor EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled Additional EU Entrants possible? Syria – Could disrupt in the markets Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End |
|
Ongoing Items – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions | |
| Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, 14 Feb 2021) Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency Influence of terrorism on production has risen. German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for possible future ramifications for stability – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers. Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21) Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE) Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border |
|
________________
MAX NewsWatch List
Opens: Tokyo – 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event |
| NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio Live Trading Session – All Welcome Friday @ 8:20 a.m., 4th Nov (NY Time) Register here for the NFP Session &/or Video |
Monitor Sun Oct 30 8:00 p.m. AUD MI Inflation Gauge m/m
Monitor Mon Oct 31 6:00 a.m. EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y
Monitor Mon Oct 31 6:00 a.m. EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
All TFs Mon Oct 31 6:00 a.m. EUR Prelim Flash GDP q/q
Under H4 Mon Oct 31 9:45 a.m. USD Chicago PMI
Monitor Mon Oct 31 9:45 p.m. CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Hi Impact Mon Oct 31 11:30 p.m. AUD Cash Rate
Hi Impact Mon Oct 31 11:30 p.m. AUD RBA Rate Statement
Monitor Mon Oct 31 11:35 p.m. JPY 10-y Bond Auction
Under H4 Tue Nov 1 3:00 a.m. GBP Nationwide HPI m/m
Holiday Tue Nov 1 All Day EUR French Bank Holiday
Holiday Tue Nov 1 All Day EUR Italian Bank Holiday All TFs Tue Nov 1 Tentative NZD GDT Price Index
Monitor Tue Nov 1 4:00 p.m. NZD RBNZ Financial Stability Report
Monitor Tue Nov 1 7:50 p.m. JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
ADP Non-Farm Employment
All TFs Wed Nov 2 8:15 a.m. USD
Change
Monitor Wed Nov 2 10:30 a.m. USD Crude Oil Inventories Hi Impact Wed Nov 2 2:00 p.m. USD FOMC Statement Hi Impact Wed Nov 2 USD Federal Funds Rate
Hi Impact Wed Nov 2 2:30 p.m. USD FOMC Press Conference
Holiday Wed Nov 2 All Day JPY Bank Holiday All TFs Wed Nov 2 8:30 p.m. AUD Trade Balance
Monitor Wed Nov 2 9:45 p.m. CNY Caixin Services PMI
All TFs Thu Nov 3 3:30 a.m. CHF CPI m/m
Monitor Thu Nov 3 Tentative EUR Spanish 10-y Bond Auction
Monitor Thu Nov 3 Tentative EUR French 10-y Bond Auction
Hi Impact Thu Nov 3 8:00 a.m. GBP BOE Monetary Policy Report Hi Impact Thu Nov 3 8:00 a.m. GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes Hi Impact Thu Nov 3 8:00 a.m. GBP Monetary Policy Summary
Hi Impact Thu Nov 3 8:00 a.m. GBP Official Bank Rate
All TFs Thu Nov 3 8:30 a.m. CAD Trade Balance Monitor Thu Nov 3 USD Unemployment Claims All TFs Thu Nov 3 8:30 a.m. USD Trade Balance Monitor Thu Nov 3 10:30 a.m. USD Natural Gas Storage
Monitor Thu Nov 3 8:30 p.m. AUD RBA Monetary Policy Statement
NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio
Live Trading Session – All Welcome
Today @ 8:20 a.m., 4th Nov (NY Time)
Register here for the NFP Session &/or Video
Under H4 Fri Nov 4 5:30 a.m. GBP Construction PMI Under H4 Fri Nov 4 8:30 a.m. CAD Employment Change
Under H4 Fri Nov 4 8:30 a.m. CAD Unemployment Rate Hi Impact Fri Nov 4 8:30 a.m. USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m Hi Impact Fri Nov 4 8:30 a.m. USD Non-Farm Employment Change Hi Impact Fri Nov 4 8:30 a.m. USD Unemployment Rate
Hi Impact Fri Nov 4 8:32 a.m. USD NFP Revision
N.A. Sat 5th Nov
________________________________________________________________
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pair | Avg Daily Pip Range | Avg Daily $ Range |
GBPUSD
200
1995
GBPJPY
262
1775
GBPNZD
270
1572
GBPCHF
145
1458
GBPAUD
217
1390
GBPCAD
187
1374
EURNZD
231
1343
EURUSD
116
1165
EURAUD
178
1141
EURGBP
96
1121
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs |
| | | | |
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD or EURUSD | GBPAUD or EURAUD | GBPUSD or EURUSD | GBPCAD or GBPUSD | GBPUSD or EURUSD |
| | | | | |
EURNZD or EURAUD | GBPNZD or GBPUSD | GBPJPY, GBPNZD or GBPAUD | GBPAUD or GBPCHF | GBPJPY or GBPCAD | |
| | | | | |
2nd Choice | EURGBP or GBPJPY | GBPCAD or GBPJPY | GBPCAD or GBPCHF | GBPJPY, GBPNZD or EURGBP | GBPCHF, GBPNZD or GBPAUD |
|
| |
|
|
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade
Forex Pairs Indices
If you are uncomfortable with the Consider trading these indices, too.
faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.
Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress. info.
• USDCAD
Some brokers allow trading the
AUDUSD Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more
NZDUSD info.
DAX
EURJPY • DOW Jones
NASDAQ
S&P 500
USDCHF
CHFJPY
• USDJPY
________________________________________________________________
News Watch – Week of 23rd Oct 2022
Be Aware of & Monitor these Longer Term Issues Last Check/Update – 23rd October 2022 – – – Last modified 9th Oct (Credit Suisse) | |
Critical Items – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact | |
| All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021)) Beware – this conflict is escalating Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022) Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls US vs China– Monitor Trade war Pay attention to any escalation China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21) Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy (22 Aug 2021) Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21) |
Important Items – Impact: Medium Term Impact | |
| US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022) Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top |
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/ | |
US-Iran Tension Escalation China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression as per Chinese general saying military action is considered EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021) after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit? European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic via EU Council meeting relationships degrading – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships, & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/ China/Hong Kong – Monitor EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled Additional EU Entrants possible? |
Syria – Could disrupt in the markets
Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices
ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End
Ongoing Items – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions | |
| Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, 14 Feb 2021) Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency Influence of terrorism on production has risen. German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for possible future ramifications for stability – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers. Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21) Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE) Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border |
|
________________
MAX NewsWatch List
Opens: Tokyo – 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times
Impact | Date |
| Time | Currency | News Event | ||
Holiday | Sun Oct 23 |
| All Day |
| NZD | Bank Holiday | |
| |
| | | |||
Monitor | Mon Oct 24 |
| 10:15 a.m. | | GBP | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks |
Monitor | Tue Oct 25 | 1:00 a.m. | JPY | BOJ Core CPI y/y |
All TFs | Tue Oct 25 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | CB Consumer Confidence |
All TFs | Tue Oct 25 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | CPI q/q |
Monitor | Tue Oct 25 | Tentative | CNY | GDP q/y |
Monitor | Wed Oct 26 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance |
Monitor | Wed Oct 26 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance |
Monitor | Wed Oct 26 | 4:00 a.m. | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations |
All TFs | Wed Oct 26 | 4:00 a.m. | EUR | M3 Money Supply y/y |
Hi Impact | Wed Oct 26 | 10:00 a.m. | CAD | BOC Monetary Policy Report |
Hi Impact | Wed Oct 26 | 10:00 a.m. | CAD | BOC Rate Statement |
Hi Impact | Wed Oct 26 | 10:00 a.m. | CAD | Overnight Rate |
Monitor | Wed Oct 26 | 10:00 a.m. | USD | New Home Sales |
Monitor | Wed Oct 26 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Crude Oil Inventories |
Hi Impact | Wed Oct 26 | 11:00 a.m. | CAD | BOC Press Conference |
Monitor | Thu Oct 27 | 2:00 a.m. | EUR | German GfK Consumer Climate |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Main Refinancing Rate |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | 8:15 a.m. | EUR | Monetary Policy Statement |
All TFs | Thu Oct 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Advance GDP q/q |
All TFs | Thu Oct 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Advance GDP Price Index q/q |
Under H4 | Thu Oct 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders m/m |
Under H4 | Thu Oct 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Durable Goods Orders m/m |
Monitor | Thu Oct 27 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Unemployment Claims |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | 8:45 a.m. | EUR | ECB Press Conference |
Monitor | Thu Oct 27 | 10:30 a.m. | USD | Natural Gas Storage |
Monitor | Thu Oct 27 | 7:30 p.m. | JPY | Tokyo Core CPI y/y |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Outlook Report |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | Tentative | JPY | Monetary Policy Statement |
Hi Impact | Thu Oct 27 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Policy Rate |
Hi Impact | Fri Oct 28 | Tentative | JPY | BOJ Press Conference |
Monitor | Fri Oct 28 | 3:00 a.m. | CHF | KOF Economic Barometer |
Monitor | Fri Oct 28 | Tentative | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction |
All TFs | Fri Oct 28 | 8:30 a.m. | CAD | GDP m/m |
All TFs | Fri Oct 28 | 8:30 a.m. | USD | Core PCE Price Index m/m |
Daylight | Sat Oct 29 | 10:00 p.m. | CHF | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
Daylight | Sat Oct 29 | 10:00 p.m. | EUR | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
Daylight | Sat Oct 29 | 10:00 p.m. | GBP | Daylight Saving Time Shift |
________________________________________________________________
The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly
The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.
Pair | Avg Daily Pip Range | Avg Daily $ Range |
| ||
GBPUSD | 249 | 2494 | |||
GBPJPY | 332 | 2252 | |||
GBPCHF | 202 | 2029 | |||
GBPNZD | 346 | 1996 | |||
GBPCAD | 255 | 1871 | |||
GBPAUD | 286 | 1827 | |||
EURGBP | 127 | 1437 | |||
EURNZD | 244 | 1407 | |||
EURUSD | 128 | 1276 | |||
USDCAD | 164 | 1203 |
________________________________________________________________
Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs
Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.
Suggested Pairs |
| | | | |
| Mon | Tues | Wed | Thurs | Friday |
1st Choices | GBPUSD or GBPJPY | GBPUSD or EURUSD | USDCAD or GBPCAD | EURGBP or EURUSD | USDCAD or GBPJPY |
| | | | | |
GBPNZD or GBPCHF | USDCAD or GBPJPY | GBPAUD or EURAUD | GBPUSD or EURAUD | GBPUSD or GBPCAD | |
| | | | | |
2nd Choice | GBPAUD or GBPCAD | GBPNZD or GBPCHF | EURUSD or EURGBP | USDCAD or GBPJPY | EURUSD or GBPCHF |
|
|
| |
|
|
________________________________________________________________
Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade
Forex Pairs Indices
If you are uncomfortable with the Consider trading these indices, too. faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.
Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress. info.
• EURAUD
Some brokers allow trading the
NZDUSD Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more
USDCHF info.
DAX
EURJPY • DOW Jones
NASDAQ
AUDUSD
S&P 500
CHFJPY
NZDJPY
AUDJPY
EURCAD
• USDJPY
________________
__________________
News Watch – Week of 16th Oct 2022
Be Aware of & Monitor these Longer Term Issues Last Check/Update – 16th October 2022 – – – Last modified 9th Oct (Credit Suisse) | |
Critical Items – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact | |
| All Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021)) Beware – this conflict is escalating Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022) Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls US vs China– Monitor Trade war Pay attention to any escalation China- Evergrande issue (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21) Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy (22 Aug 2021) Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21) |
Important Items – Impact: Medium Term Impact | |
| US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency (Added: 23 March 2022) Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments. https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top |
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/ | |
US-Iran Tension Escalation China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression as per Chinese general saying military action is considered EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021) after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit? European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic via EU Council meeting relationships degrading – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships, & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/ China/Hong Kong – Monitor EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled Additional EU Entrants possible? |
Syria – Could disrupt in the markets
Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices
ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End
Ongoing Items – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions | |
| Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, 14 Feb 2021) Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency Influence of terrorism on production has risen. German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for possible future ramifications for stability – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers. Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21) Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE) Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border |
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MAX NewsWatch List
Opens: Tokyo – 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times
Impact | Date | Time | Currency | News Event | |||
Monitor | Sun Oct 16 |
| Day 7 |
| All | IMF Meetings |
Monitor | Mon Oct 17 | Tentative | CNY | Trade Balance |
Monitor | Mon Oct 17 | Tentative | CNY | USD-Denominated Trade Balance |
Monitor | Mon Oct 17 | 6:00 a.m. | EUR | German Buba Monthly Report |
Monitor | Mon Oct 17 | Tentative | USD | Federal Budget Balance |
All TFs | Mon Oct 17 | 5:45 p.m. | NZD | CPI q/q |
Monitor | Mon Oct 17 | 8:30 p.m. | AUD | Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes |
Monitor |