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Archive of 18 Dec 2022

This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists​​ 

Week starting 18th​​ December 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e.​​ pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

________________________________

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

144

1444

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

189

1381

3

GBPJPY

165

1209

4

GBPCAD

163

1187

5

CHFJPY

153

1117

6

GBPAUD

163

1090

7

EURJPY

148

1083

8

EURUSD

103

1031

9

EURAUD

153

1022

10

GBPNZD

160

1020

11

EURNZD

159

1013

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but​​ possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

GBPCHF

92

987

13

USDCHF

89

955

14

CADJPY

127

931

15

AUDUSD

92

923

16

EURCAD

122

890

17

NZDUSD

87

872

18

USDCAD

116

849

 

19

EURGBP

62

758

 

20

AUDCHF

64

684

 

"Poorer performers

Much less​​ volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."

 

 

 

21

NZDCAD

92

669

22

CADCHF

62

660

23

EURCHF

61

651

24

AUDJPY

89

651

25

NZDCHF

59

628

26

AUDCAD

84

614

27

NZDJPY

81

596

 

28

AUDNZD

72

456

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPNZD

CHFJPY​​ 
or EURJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPUSD
or GBPJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or​​ GBPJPY

EURUSD
or GBPCAD

GBPCAD
or GBPAUD

EURUSD
or GBPCAD

2nd Choices

GBPCAD
or CHFJPY

EURAUD, EURUSD
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPNZD

GBPNZD
or USDJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or CHFJPY

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

  • EURNZD

  • GBPCHF

  • USDCHF

  • CADJPY

  • AUDUSD

  • EURCAD

  • NZDUSD

  • USDCAD

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use points &​​ fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

Here are Eusebio's ideas on​​ 
for the week

MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook


Currency & Instrument​​ 
Strengths and Directions​​ 
Week of​​ 
18th​​ December 2022​​ 

 

No outlook until Mid January

 


Note: These are not predictions, just . . .


Remember
    1.​​ The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts 
                    provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications, 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription 
         provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.

    3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and 
   ​​   ​​   ​​      ​​         

 

       

 

*​​ This Week’s Trading Ideas:

 

  • We should see a risk off week.

    So you could expect JPY CHF USD, & ​​ maybe EUR strengthening


(Risk Off = Big Boys are more likely to​​ Buy​​ the JPY, CHF, USD​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ & maybe EUR, as less risky currencies)

 

__________________________

Best Trading Ideas:

 

Long:  ​​ ​​ ​​​​ EURAUD, GBPAUD,​​ EURCAD, GBPCAD

 

Short:​​ ​​  ​​​​ AUDJPY, AUDCHF, CADJPY,​​ CHFJPY

 

 

 

 

 

Other Trading Ideas:

 

 ​​​​ 

 

Reasonable Short Trades​​ 
 ​​ ​​​​  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​  ​​ ​​ ​​​​ EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDCHF
Reasonable Long Trades ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
​​  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ USDCHF, USDCAD

 

 

 

 ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  -------------------------------
                          Take advantage of retracements 
                        and re-enter into the Bias Direction.

 

 

 

FX Currencies  

Strengths Worksheet

 

Currency

Current Strength​​ 
vs other currencies

Expected Bias Direction

EUR

+3

Short then Long

GBP

+2

Long then Short

CHF

+2

Long

JPY

+1

Long

NZD

0

Short

USD

0

Long

AUD

-2

Short

CAD

-4

Short

 

  • We should see a risk off week.
    (Risk Off =​​ Big Boys a re more likely to​​ Buy​​ the​​ JPY, CHF, USD​​ currencies & maybe EUR as less risky​​ currencies)

  • So​​ you could​​ expect JPY​​ CHF​​ USD, &​​ ​​ maybe EUR​​ strengthening

Other Instruments/Markets

 

Instrument

-

Bias Direction

 

 

 

Stock Market (Indices)

-

Short

Oil

-

Short

Gold/Silver

-

Short

BitCoin

-

Short

 

​​ *​​ 

 

 

Background:

Current Currency​​ Strength vs other Currencies
The table is​​ a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another. ​​ It is a snapshot of how things are at the moment.

Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.​​ 
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.

 

Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction.​​ 
We try to include that info here.


E.g.​​ 
 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

 

 ​​ ​​​​ “NZD 0  ​​​​ Neutral” =​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is ​​ expected to weaken thru the week

 

 ​​​​ “CAD -3  ​​​​ Short” =

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.

 

 ​​​​ “CHF +3  ​​​​ Long” =​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week

 

 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

0 – movement​​ 

 

(Risk Off = Big Boys are more likely to​​ Buy​​ the​​ “Safe Havens” ​​ -​​ JPY, CHF, USD & maybe EUR, as less risky currencies)


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 18th December 2022   
Last modified ​​ – ​​ 11th​​ December 2022​​ ​​ US Elections Completed

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ –​​ Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held 8th​​ November 2022 & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation &​​ Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US​​ Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 


Banks under Scrutiny ​​ by ECB  ​​ ​​​​ –​​ (Added:  4th​​ December 2022)
 ​​ ​​​​ Monitor for limited credit causing financial problems​​ 
 ​​​​ ​​ Effects Deutsche Bank & BNP Paribas

​​ US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland –​​ Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any​​ action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
–​​ Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

Archive of 11 Dec 2022

MAX NewsWatch List


11th​​ December 2022​​ 

 

Market Opens: Tokyo ​​ 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am

All Times are in New York Times

Impact

Date

Time

Currency

        News Event

N A​​ 

Sun Dec 11

 4:45 p.m.

NZD

Visitor​​ Arrivals m/m

​​ 

 

 

 

 

All TFs

Mon Dec 12

2:00 a.m.

GBP

GDP m/m

Monitor

Mon Dec 12

Tentative

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

Monitor

Mon Dec 12

1:01 p.m.

USD

10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Mon Dec 12

2:00 p.m.

USD

Federal Budget Balance

​​ 

 

 

 

 


​​ CPI –​​ Real-Time with Eusebio
Live Trading Session All Welcome
Friday @ 8:20 ​​ a m , 13th Dec (NY Time)
Register here for the​​ Session​​ &/or Video

Under H4

Tue Dec 13

5:00 a.m.

EUR

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

Under H4

Tue Dec 13

5:00 a.m.

EUR

ZEW Economic Sentiment

Monitor

Tue Dec 13

5:30 a.m.

GBP

BOE Financial Stability Report

Monitor

Tue Dec 13

Tentative

GBP

10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Tue Dec 13

6:00 a.m.

GBP

BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

All TFs

Tue Dec 13

8:30 a.m.

USD

CPI m/m  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ OPEN HOUSE

All TFs

Tue Dec 13

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core CPI m/m

Monitor

Tue Dec 13

1:01 p.m.

USD

30-y Bond Auction

All TFs

Tue Dec 13

4:45 p.m.

NZD

Current Account

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Wed Dec 14

2:00 a.m.

GBP

CPI y/y

Monitor

Wed Dec 14

2:00 a.m.

GBP

Core CPI y/y

Monitor

Wed Dec 14

10:30 a.m.

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 14

2:00 p.m.

USD

FOMC Economic Projections

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 14

2:00 p.m.

USD

FOMC​​ Statement

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 14

2:00 p.m.

USD

Federal Funds Rate

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 14

2:30 p.m.

USD

FOMC Press Conference

All TFs

Wed Dec 14

4:45 p.m.

NZD

GDP q/q

All TFs

Wed Dec 14

6:50 p.m.

JPY

Trade Balance

Monitor

Wed Dec 14

7:00 p.m.

AUD

MI​​ Inflation Expectations

All TFs

Wed Dec 14

7:30 p.m.

AUD

Employment Change

All TFs

Wed Dec 14

7:30 p.m.

AUD

Unemployment Rate

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

3:30 a.m.

CHF

SNB Monetary Policy Assessment

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

3:30 a.m.

CHF

SNB Policy Rate

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

4:00 a.m.

CHF

SNB Press Conference

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

7:00 a.m.

GBP

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

7:00 a.m.

GBP

Monetary Policy Summary

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

7:00 a.m.

GBP

Official Bank Rate

Hi Impact

Thu​​ Dec 15

8:15 a.m.

EUR

Main Refinancing Rate

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

8:15 a.m.

EUR

Monetary Policy Statement

Under H4

Thu Dec 15

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core Retail Sales m/m

Under H4

Thu Dec 15

8:30 a.m.

USD

Retail Sales m/m

Under H4

Thu Dec 15

8:30 a.m.

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

Monitor

Thu Dec 15

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Claims

Hi Impact

Thu Dec 15

8:45 a.m.

EUR

ECB Press Conference

Monitor

Thu Dec 15

10:30 a.m.

USD

Natural Gas Storage

Monitor

Thu Dec 15

7:01 p.m.

GBP

GfK Consumer​​ Confidence

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Fri Dec 16

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Flash Manufacturing PMI

Under H4

Fri Dec 16

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Flash Services PMI

All TFs

Fri Dec 16

5:00 a.m.

EUR

Trade Balance

Monitor

Fri Dec 16

Tentative

GBP

BOE Quarterly Bulletin

Under H4

Fri Dec​​ 16

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Wholesale Sales m/m

​​ 

 

 

 

 

N.A.

Sat Dec 17

 

 

 

 

This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists​​ 

Week starting 11th​​ December 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e.​​ pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

________________________________

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

146

1464

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

182

1336

3

GBPCAD

171

1253

4

GBPJPY

158

1158

5

GBPAUD

167

1137

6

EURUSD

106

1062

7

GBPNZD

161

1034

8

EURJPY

141

1033

9

CHFJPY

140

1028

10

GBPCHF

95

1015

11

EURAUD

143

970

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but​​ possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

EURNZD

151

969

13

USDCHF

89

953

14

CADJPY

125

915

15

EURCAD

122

897

16

AUDUSD

87

866

17

USDCAD

117

859

18

NZDUSD

85

854

 

19

EURGBP

65

802

 

20

AUDJPY

94

686

 

"Poorer performers

Much less​​ volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."

 

 

 

21

EURCHF

63

672

22

NZDCAD

90

661

23

CADCHF

61

652

24

AUDCHF

60

641

25

NZDJPY

85

624

26

NZDCHF

56

604

27

AUDCAD

80

586

 

28

AUDNZD

68

437

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses​​ will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

EURUSD​​ 
or​​ 
GBPUSD

USDJPY, GBPUSD​​ 
or EURUS
D

GBPUSD
or GBPCHF

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or​​ 
GBPAUD

USDJPY​​ 
or GBP
NZD

GBPNZD
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or​​ 
GBPAUD

GBPJPY, EURUSD
or​​ 
GBPAUD

2nd Choices

GBPNZD
or GBPCHF

EURJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPAUD

EURUSD, CHFJPY​​ 
or EURJPY

GBPNZD, EURJPY
or GBPCHF

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

  • EURGBP

  • AUDJPY

  • EURCHF

  • NZDCAD

  • CADCHF

  • AUDCHF

  • NZDJPY

  • NZDCHF

  • AUDCAD

  • AUDNZD

 

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use​​ points & fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

Here are Eusebio's ideas on​​ 
for the week

MAX Members’ Weekly Gobal Outlook


Currency & Instrument​​ 
Strengths and Directions​​ 
Week of​​ 
12th​​ December 2022​​ 

Apologies, but the situation is still​​ 

unable to be determined satisfactorily and we cannot provide a mid-week update.


There are still 3 Central Bank meetings to come & we are almost at the end of the week.


Eusebio expects to provide an important update on the weekend for next week.

 

 

 


Note: These​​ are not predictions, just . . .


Remember
    1.​​ The MAX Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts 
                    provide immediate(ish) bias/direction indications, 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription 
         provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.

    3. The pair selections below are for ideas just for this week, and 
   ​​   ​​   ​​      ​​         

 

       

 

*​​ This Week’s Trading Ideas:

 

No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision​​ Wednesday

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ * ​​ NFP could Change the directions

 

__________________________

Best Trading Ideas:

 

Long:  ​​ ​​ ​​​​ No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision Wednesday

 

Short: ​​ 

 

*​​ 

 

 

 

Other Trading Ideas:

 

 

 

Reasonable Short Trades​​ 
No trade ideas​​ until after FED rate Decision Wednesday

Reasonable Long Trades ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision Wednesday

 

 

 

Long trade possibilities​​ 
No trade ideas until after FED rate Decision Wednesday

 

Short trade possibilities​​ 
No trade ideas​​ until after FED rate Decision Wednesday

 

 ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  -------------------------------
                          Take advantage of retracements 
                        and re-enter into the Bias Direction.

 

 

 

FX Currencies  

Strengths​​ Worksheet

 

Currency

Current Strength​​ 
vs other currencies

Expected Bias Direction

GBP

+2

Short​​ *

EUR

+2

Short*

NZD

+1

Long*

JPY

+1

Long*

CHF

+1

Undefined*

USD

-1

Long*

AUD

-2

Short*

CAD

-4

Short*

 

*​​ These Bias Directions are based on the USD​​ going stronger/long, but if it weakens, then expect GBP, EUR, JPY, CHF, AUD CAD Long.
Will be updated after the​​ 
US Rate Announcement Wednesday

 

Other Instruments/Markets

 

Instrument

-

Bias Direction

 

 

 

Stock Market (Indices)

-

Short*

Oil

-

Short*

Gold/Silver

-

Short*

BitCoin

-

Short*

 

​​ *​​ These Bias Directions are based on the USD going stronger/long, but if it weakens, then expect GBP, EUR, JPY, CHF, AUD CAD Long.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Background:

Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies
The​​ table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.

Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.
Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc​​ can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.

Usage:

It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.​​ 
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to​​ select the trading pairs.


E.g.​​ 
 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

 

 ​​ ​​​​ “NZD 0  ​​​​ Neutral” =​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Neutral – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is ​​ expected to weaken thru the week

 

​​ ​​ “CAD -3  ​​​​ Short” =

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.

 

 ​​​​ “CHF +3  ​​​​ Long” =​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain strong through the week

 

 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

0 – movement​​ 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 11th December 2022   
Last modified​​ ​​ – ​​ 11th​​ December​​ 2022​​ ​​ US Elections Completed

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ –​​ Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022) (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held 8th​​ November 2022 & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation &​​ Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US​​ Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 


Banks under Scrutiny ​​ by ECB  ​​ ​​​​ –​​ (Added:  4th​​ December 2022)
 ​​ ​​​​ Monitor for limited credit causing financial problems​​ 
 ​​​​ ​​ Effects Deutsche Bank & BNP Paribas

​​ US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland –​​ Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any​​ action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
–​​ Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists​​ 

Week starting​​ 4th​​ December 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e.​​ pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

________________________________

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

175

1748

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

218

1624

3

GBPCAD

188

1393

4

GBPJPY

186

1387

5

GBPCHF

118

1264

6

EURUSD

125

1247

7

USDCHF

110

1171

8

GBPAUD

171

1165

9

CHFJPY

155

1152

10

EURJPY

153

1137

11

GBPNZD

174

1118

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but​​ possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

CADJPY

135

1002

13

AUDUSD

98

981

14

EURNZD

153

981

15

NZDUSD

96

960

16

EURAUD

138

941

17

EURCAD

123

915

18

EURGBP

73

902

 

19

USDCAD

120

892

 

20

EURCHF

70

746

 

"Poorer performers

Much less​​ volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."

 

 

 

21

AUDJPY

100

744

22

CADCHF

67

716

23

NZDJPY

93

691

24

AUDCHF

65

690

25

NZDCAD

92

683

26

AUDCAD

87

647

27

NZDCHF

60

641

 

28

AUDNZD

72

461

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses​​ will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBP
USD

EURUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or GBP
CAD

USDCHF​​ 
or​​ 
GBPUSD

2nd Choices

EURUSD, GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCHF

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPCHF

GBPCHF​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPCHF​​ 
or​​ 
GBPJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

 

  • AGBPNZD

  • CADJPY

  • AUDUSD

  • EURNZD

  • NZDUSD

  • EURAUD

  • EURCAD

  • EURGBP

  • USDCAD

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use​​ points & fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

________________________________________________________________

 

FDF1FC  ​​​​ 

#FFFFF3

 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 4th​​ December 2022   
Last modified​​ 4th​​ December 22 ​​​​ (EU Banks)

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022)​​ (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held​​ 8th​​ November 2022​​ & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US Dollar​​ losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 


Banks under Scrutiny ​​​​ by ECB  ​​ ​​​​ –​​ (Added:  4th​​ December 2022)
 ​​ ​​​​ Monitor for limited credit causing financial problems​​ 
​​ ​​ ​​ Effects​​ Deutsche Bank & BNP Paribas

​​ US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s​​ Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year​​ End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
– Monitor – Possible EU Penalty &​​ alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

MAX NewsWatch List

4th​​ December 2022​​ 

 

Market Opens: Tokyo ​​ 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am

All Times are in New York Times

Impact

Date

Time

Currency

        News Event

Monitor

Sun Dec 4

All Day

All

OPEC-JMMC Meetings

Monitor

Sun Dec 4

8:45 p.m.

CNY

Caixin Services PMI

 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Mon Dec 5

10:00 a.m.

USD

ISM Services PMI

All TFs

Mon Dec 5

7:30 p.m.

AUD

Current Account

Hi Impact

Mon Dec 5

10:30 p.m.

AUD

Cash Rate

Hi Impact

Mon Dec 5

10:30 p.m.

AUD

RBA Rate Statement

Monitor

Mon Dec 5

10:35 p.m.

JPY

30-y Bond Auction

 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Tue Dec 6

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Construction PMI

Monitor

Tue Dec 6

All Day

EUR

ECOFIN Meetings

All TFs

Tue Dec 6

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Trade Balance

All TFs

Tue Dec 6

8:30 a.m.

USD

Trade Balance

All TFs

Tue Dec 6

Tentative

NZD

GDT Price Index

All TFs

Tue Dec 6

7:30 p.m.

AUD

GDP q/q

Monitor

Tue Dec 6

Tentative

CNY

Trade Balance

Monitor

Tue Dec 6

Tentative

CNY

USD-Denominated Trade Balance

 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Wed Dec 7

2:00 a.m.

GBP

Halifax HPI m/m

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 7

10:00 a.m.

CAD

BOC Rate Statement

Hi Impact

Wed Dec 7

10:00 a.m.

CAD

Overnight Rate

Monitor

Wed Dec 7

10:30 a.m.

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

All TFs

Wed Dec 7

6:50 p.m.

JPY

Current Account

Monitor

Wed Dec 7

7:30 p.m.

AUD

RBA Bulletin

All TFs

Wed Dec 7

7:30 p.m.

AUD

Trade Balance

 

 

 

 

 

Holiday

Thu Dec 8

All Day

EUR

Italian Bank Holiday

Monitor

Thu Dec 8

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Claims

Monitor

Thu Dec 8

10:30 a.m.

USD

Natural Gas Storage

Monitor

Thu Dec 8

8:30 p.m.

CNY

CPI y/y

Monitor

Thu Dec 8

8:30 p.m.

CNY

PPI y/y

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Fri Dec 9

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Consumer Inflation Expectations

Monitor

Fri Dec 9

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core PPI m/m

Monitor

Fri Dec 9

8:30 a.m.

USD

PPI m/m

All TFs

Fri Dec 9

10:00 a.m.

USD

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

All TFs

Fri Dec 9

10:00 a.m.

USD

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

​​ 

 

 

 

 

na

Sat Dec 10

 

 

 

 

This week’s “Top Pairs” Lists​​ 

Week starting​​ 4th​​ December 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the “low-hanging fruit” i.e.​​ pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

________________________________

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

175

1748

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

218

1624

3

GBPCAD

188

1393

4

GBPJPY

186

1387

5

GBPCHF

118

1264

6

EURUSD

125

1247

7

USDCHF

110

1171

8

GBPAUD

171

1165

9

CHFJPY

155

1152

10

EURJPY

153

1137

11

GBPNZD

174

1118

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but​​ possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

CADJPY

135

1002

13

AUDUSD

98

981

14

EURNZD

153

981

15

NZDUSD

96

960

16

EURAUD

138

941

17

EURCAD

123

915

18

EURGBP

73

902

 

19

USDCAD

120

892

 

20

EURCHF

70

746

 

"Poorer performers

Much less​​ volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances."

 

 

 

21

AUDJPY

100

744

22

CADCHF

67

716

23

NZDJPY

93

691

24

AUDCHF

65

690

25

NZDCAD

92

683

26

AUDCAD

87

647

27

NZDCHF

60

641

 

28

AUDNZD

72

461

 

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses​​ will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPAUD​​ 
or GBP
USD

EURUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or GBP
CAD

USDCHF​​ 
or​​ 
GBPUSD

2nd Choices

EURUSD, GBPAUD​​ 
or GBPCHF

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPCHF

GBPCHF​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPCHF​​ 
or​​ 
GBPJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

 

  • AGBPNZD

  • CADJPY

  • AUDUSD

  • EURNZD

  • NZDUSD

  • EURAUD

  • EURCAD

  • EURGBP

  • USDCAD

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use​​ points & fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

________________________________________________________________

 

FDF1FC  ​​​​ 

#FFFFF3

 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 4th​​ December 2022   
Last modified​​ 4th​​ December 22 ​​​​ (EU Banks)

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022)​​ (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held​​ 8th​​ November 2022​​ & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US Dollar​​ losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 


Banks under Scrutiny ​​​​ by ECB  ​​ ​​​​ –​​ (Added:  4th​​ December 2022)
 ​​ ​​​​ Monitor for limited credit causing financial problems​​ 
​​ ​​ ​​ Effects​​ Deutsche Bank & BNP Paribas

​​ US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s​​ Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year​​ End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
– Monitor – Possible EU Penalty &​​ alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

MAX NewsWatch List

27th​​ November 2022​​ 

 

Market Opens: Tokyo ​​ 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am

All Times are in New York Times

Impact

Date

Time

Currency

        News Event

All TFs

Mon Nov 28

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Current Account

Monitor

Mon Nov 28

9:00 a.m.

EUR

ECB President Lagarde Speaks

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

All Day

EUR

German Prelim CPI m/m

All TFs

Tue Nov 29

3:00 a.m.

CHF

GDP q/q

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

Tentative

EUR

Italian 10-y Bond Auction

All TFs

Tue Nov 29

8:30 a.m.

CAD

GDP m/m

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

10:00 a.m.

GBP

BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

8:30 p.m.

CNY

Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

8:30 p.m.

CNY

Non-Manufacturing PMI

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

3:00 a.m.

CHF

KOF Economic Barometer

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

4:00 a.m.

CHF

Credit Suisse Economic Expectations

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

5:00 a.m.

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

5:00 a.m.

EUR

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

Tentative

EUR

German 10-y Bond Auction

Under H4

Wed Nov 30

8:15 a.m.

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

All TFs

Wed Nov 30

8:30 a.m.

USD

Prelim GDP q/q

All TFs

Wed Nov 30

8:30 a.m.

USD

Prelim GDP Price Index q/q

Under H4

Wed Nov 30

9:45 a.m.

USD

Chicago PMI

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

10:30 a.m.

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

2:00 p.m.

USD

Beige Book

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

8:45 p.m.

CNY

Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

10:35 p.m.

JPY

10-y Bond Auction

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Thu Dec 1

2:00 a.m.

GBP

Nationwide HPI m/m

All TFs

Thu Dec 1

2:30 a.m.

CHF

CPI m/m

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

EUR

Spanish 10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

EUR

French 10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

GBP

30-y Bond Auction

All TFs

Thu Dec 1

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core PCE Price Index m/m

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Claims

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

10:00 a.m.

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

10:30 a.m.

USD

Natural Gas Storage

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Employment Change

Under H4

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Unemployment Rate

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Rate

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:32 a.m.

USD

Revision - NFP

​​ 

 

 

 

 

NA

Sat Dec 3

 

 

 

 

The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly

Week starting 27th November 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the​​ “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
ordered most expensive to​​ cheapest

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg​​ Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

179

1790

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

206

1481

3

GBPJPY

187

1347

4

GBPCAD

176

1318

5

GBPCHF

121

1275

6

EURUSD

127

1268

7

GBPNZD

199

1245

8

USDCHF

117

1235

9

GBPAUD

178

1203

10

EURJPY

145

1045

11

AUDUSD

104

1043

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

CHFJPY

145

1039

13

NZDUSD

99

995

14

EURNZD

151

946

15

USDCAD

125

936

16

EURGBP

75

903

17

EURAUD

133

899

18

CADJPY

118

848

Poorer performers
Much less volatility & likely profit from these​​ pairs based on their past perfor-mances.

19

EURCAD

107

801

20

EURCHF

67

705

21

AUDJPY

97

698

22

AUDCHF

64

676

23

NZDJPY

92

661

24

CADCHF

62

652

25

NZDCAD

84

625

26

AUDCAD

83

620

27

NZDCHF

59

619

28

AUDNZD

71

443

 

​​ 1

 

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the​​ selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs​​ for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

EURUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPCHF​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPUSD,​​ 
GBPCHF​​ 
or USDCHF

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

EURJPY​​ 
or​​ GBPUSD

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

EURUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

EURUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

2nd Choices

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

EURUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

 

  • AUDUSD

  • CHFJPY

  • NZDUSD

  • EURNZD

  • USDCAD

  • EURGBP

  • EURAUD

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use points &​​ fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

________________________________________________________________

 

FDF1FC  ​​​​ 

#FFFFF3

 

Here are Eusebio's ideas on​​ 
for the week

MAX Members’​​ Weekly Gobal Outlook


Currency & Instrument​​ 
Strengths and Directions​​ 

Week of​​ 

27th November 2022​​ 

 

 


Note: These are not predictions, just . . .


Remember
    1.​​ The​​ MAX​​ Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts 
       ​​             provide immediate(ish)​​ bias/direction​​ indications, 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription 
         provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.

   ​​ 3. The​​ pair​​ selections below are for ideas just for this week, and 
   ​​   ​​   ​​      ​​         

 

       

 

*​​ This Week’s Trading Ideas:

 

A week of Risk OFF​​ & Choppy​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ * ​​ NFP could Change the directions

 

__________________________

Best Trading Ideas:

 

Long: ​​ EURCAD, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPAUD

 

Short: ​​ CADJPY, CADCHF, AUDJPY

 

 

 

 

Other Trading Ideas:

 

 

 

Reasonable Short Trades​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
(Expected​​ after possible retracement)
 ​​ ​​​​ EURUSD, USDCHF, NZDUSD
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ e.g. possible initial long to start,​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ then resumes​​ the​​ expected short​​ movement​​ (retraces).

Reasonable Long​​ Trades ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week

 

 

 

Long trade possibilities​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week

 

Short trade possibilities
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week  ​​​​ 

 

 ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  -------------------------------
                          Take advantage of retracements 
                        and re-enter into the Bias Direction.

 

 

 

FX Currencies  

 

Currency

Current Strength​​ 
vs other currencies

Expected Bias Direction

CHF

+2

Short then Long*

EUR

+2

Neutral then Short*

NZD

+1

Short

JPY

+1

Short​​ then Long*

GBP

+1

Long then Short*

USD

-1

Long

AUD

-1

Long then​​ Short*

CAD

-3

Long then​​ Short*

 

*​​ *NFP could cause a change of the directions

 

Other Instruments/Markets

 

Instrument

-

Bias Direction

 

 

 

Stock Market (Indices)

-

Short

Oil

-

Short

Gold/Silver

-

Long

BitCoin

-

Long then​​ Short*

 

*​​ NFP could​​ cause a change​​ of​​ the directions

 

 

 

 

 

 

Background:

Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies

The table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.

Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.

Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.


Usage:

It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.​​ 
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.


E.g.​​ 
 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

 

 ​​ ​​​​ “NZD 0  ​​​​ Neutral” =​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Neutral​​ – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is ​​ expected to weaken thru the week

 

 ​​​​ “CAD -3  ​​​​ Short” =

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.

 

 ​​​​ “CHF +3  ​​​​ Long” =​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain​​ strong through the week

 

 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

0 – movement​​ 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 27th​​ November 2022   
Last modified 12th November ​​ (US Mid Term elections ongoing)

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022)​​ (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held​​ 8th​​ November 2022​​ & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US Dollar​​ losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 

US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s​​ Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year​​ End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
– Monitor – Possible EU Penalty &​​ alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

MAX NewsWatch List

27th​​ November 2022​​ 

 

Market Opens: Tokyo ​​ 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am

All Times are in New York Times

Impact

Date

Time

Currency

        News Event

All TFs

Mon Nov 28

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Current Account

Monitor

Mon Nov 28

9:00 a.m.

EUR

ECB President Lagarde Speaks

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

All Day

EUR

German Prelim CPI m/m

All TFs

Tue Nov 29

3:00 a.m.

CHF

GDP q/q

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

Tentative

EUR

Italian 10-y Bond Auction

All TFs

Tue Nov 29

8:30 a.m.

CAD

GDP m/m

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

10:00 a.m.

GBP

BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

8:30 p.m.

CNY

Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Tue Nov 29

8:30 p.m.

CNY

Non-Manufacturing PMI

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

3:00 a.m.

CHF

KOF Economic Barometer

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

4:00 a.m.

CHF

Credit Suisse Economic Expectations

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

5:00 a.m.

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

5:00 a.m.

EUR

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

Tentative

EUR

German 10-y Bond Auction

Under H4

Wed Nov 30

8:15 a.m.

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

All TFs

Wed Nov 30

8:30 a.m.

USD

Prelim GDP q/q

All TFs

Wed Nov 30

8:30 a.m.

USD

Prelim GDP Price Index q/q

Under H4

Wed Nov 30

9:45 a.m.

USD

Chicago PMI

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

10:30 a.m.

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

2:00 p.m.

USD

Beige Book

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

8:45 p.m.

CNY

Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Wed Nov 30

10:35 p.m.

JPY

10-y Bond Auction

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Thu Dec 1

2:00 a.m.

GBP

Nationwide HPI m/m

All TFs

Thu Dec 1

2:30 a.m.

CHF

CPI m/m

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

EUR

Spanish 10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

EUR

French 10-y Bond Auction

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

Tentative

GBP

30-y Bond Auction

All TFs

Thu Dec 1

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core PCE Price Index m/m

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Claims

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

10:00 a.m.

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Monitor

Thu Dec 1

10:30 a.m.

USD

Natural Gas Storage

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Employment Change

Under H4

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Unemployment Rate

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Rate

Hi Impact

Fri Dec 2

8:32 a.m.

USD

Revision - NFP

​​ 

 

 

 

 

NA

Sat Dec 3

 

 

 

 

The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly

Week starting 27th November 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the​​ “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

The Top Pairs List​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
ordered most expensive to​​ cheapest

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg​​ Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

179

1790

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

206

1481

3

GBPJPY

187

1347

4

GBPCAD

176

1318

5

GBPCHF

121

1275

6

EURUSD

127

1268

7

GBPNZD

199

1245

8

USDCHF

117

1235

9

GBPAUD

178

1203

10

EURJPY

145

1045

11

AUDUSD

104

1043

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

CHFJPY

145

1039

13

NZDUSD

99

995

14

EURNZD

151

946

15

USDCAD

125

936

16

EURGBP

75

903

17

EURAUD

133

899

18

CADJPY

118

848

Poorer performers
Much less volatility & likely profit from these​​ pairs based on their past perfor-mances.

19

EURCAD

107

801

20

EURCHF

67

705

21

AUDJPY

97

698

22

AUDCHF

64

676

23

NZDJPY

92

661

24

CADCHF

62

652

25

NZDCAD

84

625

26

AUDCAD

83

620

27

NZDCHF

59

619

28

AUDNZD

71

443

 

​​ 1

 

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to help narrow the​​ selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs​​ for each day​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

EURUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPCHF​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPUSD,​​ 
GBPCHF​​ 
or USDCHF

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

EURJPY​​ 
or​​ GBPUSD

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

EURUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

EURUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

2nd Choices

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

USDJPY​​ 
or GBPJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

EURUSD​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones​​ instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

 

  • AUDUSD

  • CHFJPY

  • NZDUSD

  • EURNZD

  • USDCAD

  • EURGBP

  • EURAUD

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use points &​​ fractions of points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

________________________________________________________________

 

FDF1FC  ​​​​ 

#FFFFF3

 

Here are Eusebio's ideas on​​ 
for the week

MAX Members’​​ Weekly Gobal Outlook


Currency & Instrument​​ 
Strengths and Directions​​ 

Week of​​ 

27th November 2022​​ 

 

 


Note: These are not predictions, just . . .


Remember
    1.​​ The​​ MAX​​ Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts 
       ​​             provide immediate(ish)​​ bias/direction​​ indications, 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 2. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription 
         provides an intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.

   ​​ 3. The​​ pair​​ selections below are for ideas just for this week, and 
   ​​   ​​   ​​      ​​         

 

       

 

*​​ This Week’s Trading Ideas:

 

A week of Risk OFF​​ & Choppy​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ * ​​ NFP could Change the directions

 

__________________________

Best Trading Ideas:

 

Long: ​​ EURCAD, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPAUD

 

Short: ​​ CADJPY, CADCHF, AUDJPY

 

 

 

 

Other Trading Ideas:

 

 

 

Reasonable Short Trades​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
(Expected​​ after possible retracement)
 ​​ ​​​​ EURUSD, USDCHF, NZDUSD
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ e.g. possible initial long to start,​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ then resumes​​ the​​ expected short​​ movement​​ (retraces).

Reasonable Long​​ Trades ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week

 

 

 

Long trade possibilities​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week

 

Short trade possibilities
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week  ​​​​ 

 

 ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  -------------------------------
                          Take advantage of retracements 
                        and re-enter into the Bias Direction.

 

 

 

FX Currencies  

 

Currency

Current Strength​​ 
vs other currencies

Expected Bias Direction

CHF

+2

Short then Long*

EUR

+2

Neutral then Short*

NZD

+1

Short

JPY

+1

Short​​ then Long*

GBP

+1

Long then Short*

USD

-1

Long

AUD

-1

Long then​​ Short*

CAD

-3

Long then​​ Short*

 

*​​ *NFP could cause a change of the directions

 

Other Instruments/Markets

 

Instrument

-

Bias Direction

 

 

 

Stock Market (Indices)

-

Short

Oil

-

Short

Gold/Silver

-

Long

BitCoin

-

Long then​​ Short*

 

*​​ NFP could​​ cause a change​​ of​​ the directions

 

 

 

 

 

 

Background:

Current Currency Strength vs other Currencies

The table is just a work sheet to show the current relative strengths of the currencies, when compared to one another, now.

Expected Bias Direction
This column gives an idea of what to expect over the coming week.

Hi Impact items like CPI, Interest rates etc can cause a change in the bias direction. We try to include that info here.


Usage:

It shows how things are at the moment.
Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.​​ 
He pits the more extreme strength currencies against one another to select the trading pairs.


E.g.​​ 
 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

 

 ​​ ​​​​ “NZD 0  ​​​​ Neutral” =​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Neutral​​ – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is ​​ expected to weaken thru the week

 

 ​​​​ “CAD -3  ​​​​ Short” =

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.

 

 ​​​​ “CHF +3  ​​​​ Long” =​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain​​ strong through the week

 

 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

0 – movement​​ 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues​​ 


Checked/Updated –​​ 27th​​ November 2022   
Last modified 12th November ​​ (US Mid Term elections ongoing)

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022)​​ (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held​​ 8th​​ November 2022​​ & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US Dollar​​ losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 

US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s​​ Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year​​ End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
– Monitor – Possible EU Penalty &​​ alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

[

MAX NewsWatch List

20th​​ November 2022

 

Market Opens: Tokyo ​​ 8pm – Frankfurt 2am – London 3am – US Open 8am​​ 
All Times are in New York Times

 

Impact

Date

Time

Currency

        News Event

 

 

 

 

 

 

NA

Sun Nov 20

 

 

 

​​ 

 

 

 

 

All TFs

Mon Nov 21

4:45 p.m.

NZD

Trade Balance

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Tue Nov 22

12:00 a.m.

JPY

BOJ Core CPI y/y

All TFs

Tue Nov 22

4:00 a.m.

EUR

Current Account

Under H4

Tue Nov 22

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Core Retail Sales m/m

Under H4

Tue Nov 22

8:30 a.m.

CAD

Retail Sales m/m

Holiday

Tue Nov 22

All Day

JPY

Bank Holiday

Hi Impact

Tue Nov 22

8:00 p.m.

NZD

Official Cash Rate

Hi Impact

Tue Nov 22

8:00 p.m.

NZD

RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

Hi Impact

Tue Nov 22

8:00 p.m.

NZD

RBNZ Rate Statement

Hi Impact

Tue Nov 22

9:00 p.m.

NZD

RBNZ Press Conference

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Under H4

Wed Nov 23

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Flash Manufacturing PMI

Under H4

Wed Nov 23

4:30 a.m.

GBP

Flash Services PMI

Monitor

Wed Nov 23

Tentative

EUR

German 30-y Bond Auction

Under H4

Wed Nov 23

8:30 a.m.

USD

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

Under H4

Wed Nov 23

8:30 a.m.

USD

Durable Goods Orders m/m

Monitor

Wed Nov 23

8:30 a.m.

USD

Unemployment Claims

Monitor

Wed Nov 23

10:30 a.m.

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

Monitor

Wed Nov 23

12:00 p.m.

USD

Natural Gas Storage

Monitor

Wed Nov 23

2:00 p.m.

USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Thu Nov 24

4:00 a.m.

EUR

German ifo Business Climate

Holiday

Thu Nov 24

All Day

USD

Bank Holiday

Monitor

Thu Nov 24

6:30 p.m.

JPY

Tokyo Core CPI y/y

​​ 

 

 

 

 

Monitor

Fri Nov 25

2:00 a.m.

EUR

German GfK Consumer Climate

​​ 

 

 

 

 

n a​​ 

Sat Nov 26

 

 

 

 

 

The “Top Pairs” List – Updated weekly

Week starting 20th November​​ 2022

The Top Pairs below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.
They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.

Pick the​​ “low-hanging fruit” i.e. pairs that have moved the most,​​ 
as they are more likely to move this week.

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

The Top Pairs List,​​ ordered most expensive to cheapest

 

 

Last week

Pair

Avg Daily​​ 
Pip Range

Avg Daily
 ​​​​ $ Range ​​​​ 

 

1

GBPUSD

190

1899

Suggested​​ 
Best Pairs

2

USDJPY

213

1516

3

GBPJPY

202

1442

4

GBPCAD

189

1414

5

GBPNZD

226

1394

6

GBPCHF

129

1349

7

EURUSD

133

1333

8

GBPAUD

199

1326

9

USDCHF

120

1252

10

AUDUSD

113

1130

11

EURNZD

175

1078

Less stressful?​​ 
Not as profitable as the “Best Pairs” but possibly easier to trade – less volatile.

12

EURJPY

151

1073

13

NZDUSD

106

1056

14

CHFJPY

144

1028

15

EURAUD

154

1028

16

USDCAD

137

1020

17

EURGBP

80

949

18

EURCAD

119

887

Poorer performers
Much less volatility & likely profit from these pairs based on their past perfor-mances.

19

CADJPY

119

847

20

AUDJPY

105

746

21

EURCHF

70

735

22

AUDCHF

67

703

23

NZDJPY

98

699

24

AUDCAD

89

663

25

NZDCHF

63

657

26

NZDCAD

87

647

27

CADCHF

61

641

28

AUDNZD

74

456

 

​​ 1

 

 

 

Short List of Each Day’s Top Pairs

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.
These pairs use the News Events to​​ help narrow the selection.
MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.

 

Suggested Pairs ​​ 

 

 

 

 

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thurs

Friday

1st Choices

GBPUSD​​ 
or GBPNZD

GBPCAD, GBPNZD​​ 
or EURUSD

GBPNZD​​ 
or GBPUSD

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or​​ USDJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPUSD​​ 
or USDJPY

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBCAD

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCAD

2nd Choices

GBPCAD​​ 
or GBPCHF

GBPJPY​​ 
or GBPCHF

GBPCHF,​​ 
EURUSD​​ 
or USDCHF

GBPNZD,​​ 
USDCHF​​ 
or GBPCHF

GBPNZD,​​ 
USDCHF​​ 
or GBPCHF

 

________________________________________________________________

 

 

 

Smooth Movers – Possibly Easier to Trade Pairs

Forex Pairs
If you are uncomfortable with the faster more volatile pairs above, you could consider monitoring/trading these ones instead.
Less money, but possibly less volatility & stress.

 

 

  • EURNZD

  • EURJPY

  • NZDUSD

  • CHFJPY

  • EURAUD

  • USDCAD

  • EURGBP

 

Indices
Consider trading these indices, too.
Be careful, take your time & make certain you know how they move.
They use points & fractions of​​ points.
Check with your broker for more info.

Some brokers allow trading the Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures Check with your broker for more info.

  • DAX

  • DOW Jones

 

  • NASDAQ

  • S&P 500

  • FTS100

  • NK225

 

________________________________________________________________

 

FDF1FC  ​​​​ 

#FFFFF3

Here are Eusebio's ideas on​​ 
Currency & Instrument​​ 
Strengths and Directions​​ 
for the week
 20th November 2022


We are trialling a different way of representing the possible Biases, let us know if you have any suggestions.

Remember
    1.​​ The Companion (Fast & Slow) Biases on the charts 
                    provide immediate(ish) indications, 

    2.​​ The table below is for weekly ideas, and 
    3. Eusebio's Pair Bias Advantage subscription 
                   ​​ provides a intraday/real-time bias throughout the UK & ½ US day.
  ​​   ​​      ​​         

This table is just a work sheet for your information.
This table shows how things are at the moment, & Eusebio uses it to figure out which pairs could be best traded.​​ 
Use the extremes currencies against one another in the chart for your analysis (if you are doing analysis)

E.G.  ​​​​ AUD USD – are both currently weak, so don’t expect big moves from shorting AUDUSD, & expect similar lack of movement for the rest of week​​ as well
On contrary shorting CADCHF should yield good Opportunities Short.
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ & expecting it to stay that way for the week.

       

FX Currencies  

 

Currency

Current Strength vs other currencies

Expected Bias Direction

 

 

 

CHF

+3

 

Long

EUR

+2

Long

JPY

+1

Long

NZD

0

Short

GBP

0

Neutral

USD

-1

Weak Short

Long

AUD

-1

Short

CAD

-3

Short

 

 

 

Other Instruments/Markets

 

Instrument

-

Bias Direction

 

 

 

Stock Market (Indices)

-

Short

Oil

-

Short

Gold/Silver

-

Long

BitCoin

-

Short

​​  



 

 

*​​ Notes:

 

A week of Risk OFF still
Recommend no trading at the end of this week (US Holiday)

 

 

Best Trading Ideas:

 

 

NZD – Wait for RBNZ, Hi Impact, Wed 23rd​​ * ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hawkish – Optimistic​​ 

 

 

 

 

Other Trading Ideas:

 

 

 

Reasonable Short Trades  ​​ ​​​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ CADCHF, AUDCHF, NZDCHF*
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ AUDJPY, CADJPY, NZDJPY*, NZDUSD*

Reasonable​​ Long​​ ​​ Trades  ​​ ​​​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ EURCAD, EURAUD, EURUSD, EURNZD*

 

 


Long trade possibilities​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week

 

Short trade possibilities
 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ None this week  ​​​​ 

 

 ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  ​​  -------------------------------
                          Take advantage of retracements 
                        and re-enter into the Bias Direction.

 

 

Table Interpretation:

 ​​​​ Strength​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ shows the current Direction & Strength of the​​ currency.

 ​​​​ Expected Bias Direction

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Shows what the currency is expected to do through the week.

 

E.g.​​ 
 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

 

 ​​ ​​​​ “NZD 0  ​​​​ Neutral” =​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Neutral​​ – ie no direction atm, but the NZD is ​​ expected to weaken thru the week

 

 ​​​​ “CAD -3  ​​​​ Short” =

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CAD to be Very Weak atm & stay that way through the week.

 

 ​​​​ “CHF +3  ​​​​ Long” =​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Expect the CHF be very Strong atm & to remain​​ strong through the week

 

 ​​​​ “USD -1  ​​​​ Long” =
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Weak moves atm, but the USD is expected to get stronger & go long thru the week.

0 – movement​​ 

-1, +1  ​​​​ =​​ 

-2, +2  ​​ ​​​​ =​​ 


Be Aware of & Monitor these
Longer Term Issues


Checked/Updated –​​ 20th​​ November 2022   
Last modified 12th November ​​ (US Mid Term elections ongoing)

 

 

​​ 

​​ Critical Items

    – Impact: Possible Immediate Impact

 

 

 

All​​ Countries– Covid19 – Corona Virus
– Monitor for business changes/closures
as lockdowns start to expire
– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more
surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE

 

USSR/Ukraine/USA – Monitor (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (from Feb 2021))
           ​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating –​​ too late

Credit Suisse – Monitor (Added: 9 Oct 2022)
           Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls 

 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war
Pay​​ attention to any escalation 

 

US Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Added 30th Oct 2022)​​ (Updated: 12 Nov 2022)​​ 
 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held​​ 8th​​ November 2022​​ & Mid December

 

 

China- Evergrande issue  (Updated: 26 Aug 21)
– Monitor as it could impact China’s banking system
–​​ Evergrande defaulted on an interest payment to Australia 1st Oct 2021

Israel & Iran & Gaza – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possible Nuclear Arsenal (Update: 22 Aug 21)

Goldman Sachs Analysis – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy
(22 Aug 2021)

Afghanistan – Unfolding Situation (Updated: 22 Aug 21)


 

 

 

 

​​ 

​​ Important Items

    – Impact: Medium Term Impact

 

 

 

US Dollar​​ losing primacy as Reserve Currency  (Added:  23 March 2022)
   Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

 

US-Iran Tension Escalation

China/Taiwan – Monitor for possible aggression
as per Chinese general saying military action is considered.

 

EU – Poland – Monitor for possible Issues (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)
   after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?

European Union Dissolving? Monitor the EU for
interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic
via EU Council meeting relationships degrading
– also monitor Germany’s​​ Constitutional Court Ruling
for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,
& possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/


China/Hong Kong – Monitor

EU – Germany’s political situation is not settled
Additional EU Entrants possible?

Syria – Could disrupt in the markets

Libya – Geopolitical/Military escalation could affect Oil Prices

ECB – Monitor statements for weakening impacts
ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy
Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year​​ End.

 

 

 

 

​​ Ongoing Items

    – Impact: Very Long Term Repercussions

 

 

 

Italy – Monitor (Updated: 17 July 2022, -​​ 14 Feb 2021)
Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU
– Monitor – Budget & Banking System
– Monitor – Possible EU Penalty &​​ alternate currency

OPEC – considering dropping USD as denomination currency
Influence of terrorism on production has risen.

 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted – Monitor for
possible future ramifications for stability
– eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.

 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court (Updated: 9 May 21)
Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)
Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy

 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border.

 

 

 

 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 5th​​ Nov​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 5th November  ​​ ​​​​ 

Last modified 30th Oct (US Mid Term Elections)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ –​​ Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

Credit Suisse – Monitor​​ (Added: 9 Oct 2022)​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls​​ ​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation ​​ 

​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Mid Term​​ Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated 30th Oct 2022)​​  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held on 8th​​ November 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ –​​ Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ –​​ Monitor for possible aggression​​ 

as per Chinese general saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ 

 

for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ &​​ possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ –​​ Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering​​ dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German​​ Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX​​ NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Impact​​ 

Date​​ 

Time​​ 

Currency

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ News Event​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Nov 6​​ 

​​ 2:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Nov 6​​ 

​​ 2:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Nov 6​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Nov 6​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

USD-Denominated Trade Balance​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Mon Nov 7​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Halifax HPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Nov 7​​ 

6:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Summary of Opinions​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Nov 7​​ 

9:00 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

Inflation Expectations q/q​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Nov 8​​ 

All Day​​ 

USD​​ 

Congressional Elections​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Nov 8​​ 

6:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Nov 8​​ 

8:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

CPI y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Nov 8​​ 

10:35 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Nov 9​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Nov 9​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

German 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Nov 9​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Nov 9​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Nov 9​​ 

7:00 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

MI Inflation Expectations​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECB Economic Bulletin​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Nov 10​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Federal Budget Balance​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Prelim GDP q/q​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Manufacturing Production m/m​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

French Bank Holiday​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

EU Economic Forecasts​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECOFIN Meetings​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

CAD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

USD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

NIESR GDP Estimate​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Consumer​​ 

Sentiment​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Nov 11​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Inflation​​ 

Expectations​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

na​​ 

Sat Nov​​ 12​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $​​ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily​​ 

$ Range​​ 

 

GBPUSD​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

GBPCAD​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

AUDUSD​​ 

USDCAD​​ 

 

190​​ 

244​​ 

266​​ 

221​​ 

184​​ 

128​​ 

202​​ 

117​​ 

114​​ 

150​​ 

 

1898​​ 

1664​​ 

1580​​ 

1428​​ 

1363​​ 

1288​​ 

1198​​ 

1171​​ 

1136​​ 

1115​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help​​ marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choice​​ s​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

USDCAD,​​ 

AUDUSD or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be careful – US Mid Term​​ 

Elections could​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Recommended –​​ 

no trading the US​​ 

 

 

cause volatility today​​ 

 

 

Session due to holiday​​ 

​​ GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

​​ GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

​​ GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

USDCAD or​​ 

AUDUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

​​ GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

​​ GBPJPY,​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be​​ careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ USDJPY​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • EURAUD​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • EURJPY​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • EURGBP​​ 

​​ 

  • CHFJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ 

​​ 

​​ NZDJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 30th​​ Oct​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 30th October 2022  ​​ ​​​​ 

Last modified 30th Oct (US Mid Term Elections)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries–​​ Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ – Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

– Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

Credit Suisse – Monitor​​ (Added: 9 Oct 2022)​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls​​ ​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation ​​ 

​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US​​ Mid Term Elections​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated 30th Oct 2022)​​  ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Held on 8th​​ November 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ – Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for​​ payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ –​​ Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese general saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the​​ EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU?​​ More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil​​ Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ –​​ Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP​​ (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All​​ Times are in New York Times​​ 

Impact​​ 

Date​​ 

Time​​ 

Currency

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ News Event​​ 

 

​​ 

​​ NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio​​ 

Live Trading Session – All Welcome​​ 

Friday @ 8:20 a.m., 4th Nov (NY Time)​​ 

Register​​ here​​ for​​ the​​ NFP​​ Session​​ &/or​​ Video​​ 

​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Sun Oct 30​​ 8:00 p.m.​​ AUD​​ MI Inflation Gauge m/m​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 6:00 a.m.​​ EUR​​ CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 6:00 a.m.​​ EUR​​ Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 6:00 a.m.​​ EUR​​ Prelim Flash GDP q/q​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 9:45​​ a.m.​​ USD​​ Chicago PMI​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 9:45 p.m.​​ CNY​​ Caixin Manufacturing PMI​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 11:30 p.m.​​ AUD​​ Cash Rate​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 11:30 p.m.​​ AUD​​ RBA Rate Statement​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Mon Oct 31​​ 11:35 p.m.​​ JPY​​ 10-y Bond Auction​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ Tue Nov 1​​ 3:00 a.m.​​ GBP​​ Nationwide HPI m/m​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Holiday​​ Tue Nov 1​​ All Day​​ EUR​​ French Bank Holiday​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Holiday​​ Tue Nov 1​​ All Day​​ EUR​​ Italian Bank Holiday ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ All TFs​​ Tue Nov 1​​ Tentative​​ NZD​​ GDT​​ Price Index ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Tue Nov 1​​ 4:00 p.m.​​ NZD​​ RBNZ Financial Stability Report​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Tue Nov 1​​ 7:50 p.m.​​ JPY​​ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

ADP Non-Farm Employment​​ 

All TFs​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 8:15 a.m.​​ USD​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Change​​ 

Monitor​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 10:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Crude Oil Inventories ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 2:00 p.m.​​ USD​​ FOMC Statement ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Wed Nov 2 ​​ ​​​​ USD​​ Federal Funds Rate ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 2:30 p.m.​​ USD​​ FOMC Press Conference​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Holiday​​ Wed Nov 2​​ All Day​​ JPY​​ Bank Holiday​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ All TFs​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 8:30 p.m.​​ AUD​​ Trade Balance​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Wed Nov 2​​ 9:45 p.m.​​ CNY​​ Caixin Services PMI​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 3:30 a.m.​​ CHF​​ CPI m/m​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Thu​​ Nov 3​​ Tentative​​ EUR​​ Spanish 10-y Bond Auction​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Thu Nov 3​​ Tentative​​ EUR​​ French 10-y Bond Auction​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:00 a.m.​​ GBP​​ BOE Monetary Policy Report​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:00 a.m.​​ GBP​​ MPC Official Bank Rate Votes​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:00 a.m.​​ GBP​​ Monetary Policy Summary​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:00 a.m.​​ GBP​​ Official Bank Rate​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ CAD​​ Trade Balance ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Monitor​​ Thu Nov 3 ​​ ​​​​ USD​​ Unemployment Claims ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ All TFs​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Trade Balance ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Monitor​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 10:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Natural Gas Storage ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ Thu Nov 3​​ 8:30 p.m.​​ AUD​​ RBA Monetary Policy Statement​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

​​ 

​​ NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio​​ 

Live Trading Session – All Welcome​​ 

Today @ 8:20 a.m., 4th Nov (NY Time)​​ 

Register​​ here​​ for​​ the​​ NFP​​ Session​​ &/or​​ Video​​ 

Under H4​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 5:30 a.m.​​ GBP​​ Construction PMI ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Under H4​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ CAD​​ Employment Change ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ CAD​​ Unemployment Rate ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Average Hourly Earnings m/m ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Non-Farm​​ Employment Change ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Hi Impact​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:30 a.m.​​ USD​​ Unemployment Rate ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ Fri Nov 4​​ 8:32 a.m.​​ USD​​ NFP Revision​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

N.A.​​ Sat 5th Nov​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​ ​​ ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily​​ 

$ Range​​ 

GBPUSD

​​ 

200

​​ 

1995

​​ 

GBPJPY

​​ 

262

​​ 

1775

​​ 

GBPNZD

​​ 

270

​​ 

1572

​​ 

GBPCHF

​​ 

145

​​ 

1458

​​ 

GBPAUD

​​ 

217

​​ 

1390

​​ 

GBPCAD

​​ 

187

​​ 

1374

​​ 

EURNZD

​​ 

231

​​ 

1343

​​ 

EURUSD

​​ 

116

​​ 

1165

​​ 

EURAUD

​​ 

178

​​ 

1141

​​ 

EURGBP

​​ 

96

​​ 

1121

​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX​​ Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

EURNZD or EURAUD​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPUSD​​ 

GBPJPY,​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

GBPAUD or GBPCHF​​ 

GBPJPY or GBPCAD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

EURGBP or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

GBPJPY,​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

EURGBP​​ 

GBPCHF,​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be​​ careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ USDCAD​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • EURJPY​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ 

​​ 

  • CHFJPY​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 23rd​​ Oct​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 23rd October 2022  ​​​​ – – –  ​​ ​​​​ Last modified 9th Oct (Credit Suisse)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ –​​ Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (​​ from Feb 2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

Credit Suisse – Monitor​​ (Added: 9 Oct 2022)​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls​​ ​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation ​​ 

​​ 

China-​​ Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ – Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ 

as per Chinese general saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ – also monitor​​ Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action​​ taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ 

Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for​​ stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor​​ conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Impact​​ 

Date​​ 

 

Time​​ 

Currency​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ News Event​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Oct 23​​ 

 

All Day​​ 

 

NZD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 24​​ 

 

10:15 a.m.

​​ 

GBP​​ 

MPC Member Ramsden Speaks​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​  ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Oct 25​​ 

1:00 a.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Core CPI y/y​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Oct 25​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CB Consumer Confidence​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Oct 25​​ 

8:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

CPI q/q​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Oct 25​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

GDP q/y​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

USD-Denominated Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Credit Suisse Economic​​ 

Expectations​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

M3 Money Supply y/y​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Wed​​ Oct 26​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

BOC Monetary Policy Report​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

BOC Rate Statement​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Overnight Rate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

New Home Sales​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Wed Oct 26​​ 

11:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

BOC Press Conference​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German GfK Consumer Climate​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:15 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Main Refinancing Rate​​ 

Hi​​ Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:15 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Monetary Policy Statement​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Advance GDP q/q​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Advance GDP Price Index q/q​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Durable Goods Orders m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

8:45 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECB Press Conference​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

7:30 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Tokyo Core CPI y/y​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Outlook Report​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

Monetary Policy Statement​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Thu Oct 27​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Policy Rate​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Hi Impact​​ 

Fri Oct 28​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Press Conference​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Oct 28​​ 

3:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

KOF Economic Barometer​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Oct 28​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

Italian 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Oct 28​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Oct 28​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core PCE Price Index m/m​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Daylight​​ 

Sat Oct 29​​ 

10:00 p.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

Daylight​​ 

Sat Oct 29​​ 

10:00 p.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

Daylight​​ 

Sat Oct 29​​ 

10:00 p.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order:​​ largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily​​ 

$ Range​​ 

 

GBPUSD​​ 

249​​ 

2494​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

332​​ 

2252​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

202​​ 

2029​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

346​​ 

1996​​ 

GBPCAD​​ 

255​​ 

1871​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

286​​ 

1827​​ 

EURGBP​​ 

127​​ 

1437​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

244​​ 

1407​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

128​​ 

1276​​ 

USDCAD​​ 

164​​ 

1203​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow​​ the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

USDCAD or GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

EURGBP or EURUSD​​ 

USDCAD or GBPJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPCHF​​ ​​ 

USDCAD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPAUD or EURAUD​​ 

GBPUSD or EURAUD​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPCAD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ ​​ 

EURUSD or​​ 

EURGBP​​ 

USDCAD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

EURUSD or GBPCHF​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the Consider trading these indices, too. faster more volatile pairs above, you Be​​ careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ EURAUD​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • EURJPY​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • CHFJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDJPY​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

________________​​ 

__________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 16th​​ Oct​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 16th October 2022  ​​​​ – – –  ​​ ​​​​ Last modified 9th Oct (Credit Suisse)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ –​​ Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 (​​ from Feb 2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

Credit Suisse – Monitor​​ (Added: 9 Oct 2022)​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls​​ ​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation ​​ 

​​ 

China-​​ Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ – Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ 

as per Chinese general saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ – also monitor​​ Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action​​ taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ 

Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for​​ stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor​​ conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Impact​​ 

Date​​ 

Time​​ 

Currency​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ News Event​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Oct 16​​ 

 

Day 7​​ 

 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

USD-Denominated Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

6:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German Buba Monthly Report​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

Tentative​​ 

USD​​ 

Federal Budget Balance​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

5:45 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

CPI q/q​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

8:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 17​​ 

10:00 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

GDP q/y​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Oct 18​​ 

5:00​​ a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ZEW Economic Sentiment​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Oct 18​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German ZEW Economic​​ 

Sentiment​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Oct 18​​ 

Tentative​​ 

NZD​​ 

GDT Price Index​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

CPI y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

2:00​​ a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Core CPI y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

German 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Core CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Housing Starts​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Beige Book​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

8:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Employment Change​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Oct 19​​ 

8:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Unemployment Rate​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Philly​​ Fed Manufacturing Index​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

5:45 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

7:01 p.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

GfK Consumer​​ Confidence​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 20​​ 

7:30 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

National Core CPI y/y​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 21​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 21​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Core Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 21​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Retail Sales m/m​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

na​​ 

Sat Oct 22​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are​​ listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

248​​ 

2476​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

225​​ 

2235​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

332​​ 

2234​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

342​​ 

1899​​ 

GBPCAD​​ 

261​​ 

1877​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

285​​ 

1770​​ 

EURGBP​​ 

129​​ 

1446​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

130​​ 

1300​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

231​​ 

1286​​ 

CHFJPY​​ 

174​​ 

1168​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News​​ Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPNZD or EURNZD​​ 

GBPNZD or EURNZD​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

CHFJPY,​​ 

EURJPY or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPUSD​​ ​​ 

EURUSD or EURGBP​​ 

GBPUSD or EURNZD​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPUSD​​ ​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPUSD​​ ​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

GBPCAD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

GBPCHF or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ EURJPY​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • USDCAD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • EURAUD​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCHF​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDJPY​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

________________​​ 

__________________​​ 

​​ 

 ​​​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 1st​​ Oct​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 9th October 2022  ​​​​ – – –  ​​ ​​​​ Last modified 9th Oct (Credit Suisse)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All​​ Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022 ( from Feb​​ 

2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

Credit Suisse – Monitor​​ (Added: 9 Oct 2022)​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Possible bankruptcy due to margin calls​​ ​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any​​ escalation ​​ 

​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22​​ Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ – Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan​​ instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ 

as per Chinese general saying military action is​​ considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU​​ Council meeting relationships degrading​​ – also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ –​​ Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ 

Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB​​ outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as​​ PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard)​​ Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Impact​​ 

Date​​ 

Time​​ 

Currency​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ News Event​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Oct 9​​ 

All Day​​ 

JPY​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

10th-15th​​ 

CNY​​ 

M2 Money Supply y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

10th-15th​​ 

CNY​​ 

New Loans​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

All Day​​ 

CAD​​ 

Bank​​ Holiday​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

All Day​​ 

USD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

Day 1​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Mon Oct 10​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Current Account​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Oct 11​​ 

Day 2​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Oct 11​​ 

11:35 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

FPC Meeting Minutes​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

FPC Statement​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

German 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

NIESR GDP Estimate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

Day 3​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

6:30 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

FOMC Member Bowman​​ Speaks​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Oct 12​​ 

8:00 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

MI Inflation Expectations​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

Day 4​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

11:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

Tentative​​ 

USD​​ 

Federal Budget Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Oct 13​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

USD-Denominated Trade Balance​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

BOE Quarterly Bulletin​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Manufacturing Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Wholesale Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Consumer​​ 

Sentiment​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Inflation​​ 

Expectations​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Oct 14​​ 

Day 5​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sat Oct 15​​ 

Day 6​​ 

All​​ 

IMF Meetings​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ ​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks.​​ They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

 

GBPUSD​​ 

229​​ 

2293​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

303​​ 

2085​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

203​​ 

2045​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

299​​ 

1678​​ 

GBPCAD​​ 

230​​ 

1672​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

249​​ 

1586​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

133​​ 

1332​​ 

EURGBP​​ 

116​​ 

1282​​ 

CHFJPY​​ 

185​​ 

1275​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

175​​ 

1204​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

214​​ 

1200​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each​​ day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​ ​​ 

Trading not advised​​ 

Too many​​ holidays​​ 

CHFJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPUSD​​ ​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Trading not advised​​ 

Too many holidays​​ 

GBPUSD or EURJPY​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPCAD or EURGBP​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

Trading not advised​​ 

Too many holidays​​ 

GBPNZD, GBPAUD or GBPCHF​​ ​​ 

​​  GBPAUD or EURGBP​​ 

GBPNZD,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPCAD​​ ​​ 

EURNZD or EURJPY​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the Consider trading these indices, too. faster more volatile pairs above, you Be​​ careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ EURNZD​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

info.​​ 

  • USDCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • EURAUD​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • DOW Jones​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCHF​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDJPY​​ 

​​ 

 ​​ ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

​​ 

 ​​​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 25th​​ Sept​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 25th Sept August 2022  ​​​​ – – –  ​​ ​​​​ Last modified 18th Sept (USSR)​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All​​ Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022​​ ( from Feb​​ 

2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation​​ ​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ – Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese general​​ saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the​​ Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening​​ impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank​​ (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major​​ impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

T/frame​​ 

&​​ 

Impact​​ 

NY Date

& Time​​ 

Currency

News Event​​ 

 

 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Sep​​ 

25​​ 

All Day​​ 

NZD​​ 

QE2 Commemoration​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Sep​​ 

25​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

Italian Parliamentary Election​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep​​ 

26​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German ifo Business Climate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep​​ 

26​​ 

9:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECB President Lagarde Speaks​​ 

​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

M3 Money Supply y/y​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Durable Goods Orders m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CB Consumer Confidence​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 27​​ 

8:00 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

ANZ Business​​ Confidence​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 28​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German GfK Consumer Climate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 28​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Credit Suisse Economic​​ 

Expectations​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 28​​ 

9:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

SNB Quarterly Bulletin​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 28​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

29th-4th​​ 

GBP​​ 

Nationwide HPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

German Prelim CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

Italian 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu​​ Sep 29​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Final GDP q/q​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Manufacturing PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Non-Manufacturing PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 29​​ 

9:45 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Caixin Manufacturing PMI​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

3:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

KOF Economic Barometer​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core PCE Price Index m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

All Day​​ 

CAD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Sep 30​​ 

9:45 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Chicago PMI​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sat Oct 1​​ 

12:00 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily​​ 

$ Range​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

139​​ 

1394​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

196​​ 

1364​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

118​​ 

1206​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

173​​ 

1206​​ 

CHFJPY​​ 

173​​ 

1204​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

171​​ 

1193​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

113​​ 

1127​​ 

EURCHF​​ 

94​​ 

960​​ 

USDCHF​​ 

94​​ 

959​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

166​​ 

952​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX​​ Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

EURUSD, or GBPUSD​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

GBPCHF or EURJPY​​ 

EURJPY or USDJPY​​ 

GBPCHF or EURJPY​​ 

GBPCHF or USDJPY​​ 

GBPCHF or USDJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

CHFJPY,​​ 

USDJPY or​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

EURCHF or​​ 

USDCHF​​ 

CHFJPY, USDJPY or EURUSD​​ 

GBPNZD,​​ 

EURUSD or​​ 

USDCHF​​ ​​ 

GBPNZD,​​ 

EURUSD or​​ 

USDCHF​​ ​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more​​ volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ GBPAUD​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • GBPCAD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • EURAUD​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • EURNZD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • CADJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ 

​​ 

  • EURGBP​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDCAD​​ 

 ​​​​ ________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 18th​​ Sept​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 18th Sept August 2022​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for​​ business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 18th Sept 2022,24 Feb 2022​​ ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​ ​​​​  ​​ ​​ ​​​​ Beware – this conflict is escalating​​ 

​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation​​ ​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22​​ 

Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ –​​ Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese​​ general saying military action is considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties​​ exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor​​ statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17​​ July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM, could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ 

Influence of terrorism on​​ production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard) Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ – eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are​​ in New York Times​​ 

Timeframe​​ 

& Impact

​​ NY Date

​​ & Time​​ 

Currency

News Event​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Sep 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

CNY​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Sep 18​​ 

All Day​​ 

JPY​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Sep 19​​ 

All Day​​ 

GBP​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 19​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

German Buba Monthly Report​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 19​​ 

7:30 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

National Core CPI y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 19​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Current Account​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Core CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Housing Starts​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 20​​ 

Tentative​​ 

NZD​​ 

GDT Price Index​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

German 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

FOMC Economic Projections​​ 

Hi​​ Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

FOMC Statement​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Federal Funds Rate​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

2:30 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

FOMC Press Conference​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

5:45 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

Monetary Policy Statement​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 21​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Policy Rate​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

1:00 a.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Core CPI y/y​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

Tentative​​ 

JPY​​ 

BOJ Press Conference​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu​​ Sep 22​​ 

3:30 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

SNB Monetary Policy​​ 

Assessment​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

3:30 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

SNB Policy Rate​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

SNB​​ Press Conference​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECB Economic Bulletin​​ 

Hi​​ Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

7:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

MPC Official Bank Rate Votes​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

7:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Monetary Policy Summary​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

7:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Official Bank Rate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment​​ Claims​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

7:01 p.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

GfK Consumer Confidence​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Thu Sep 22​​ 

All Day​​ 

JPY​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Sep 23​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Core Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Sep 23​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Retail Sales m/m​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sat Sep 24​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

Daylight Saving Time Shift​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

122​​ 

1222​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

110​​ 

1101​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

156​​ 

1093​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

155​​ 

1081​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

149​​ 

1043​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

139​​ 

932​​ 

CHFJPY​​ 

132​​ 

924​​ 

USDCHF​​ 

88​​ 

914​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

88​​ 

910​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

146​​ 

874​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will​​ teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​ ​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

EURUSD, or EURNZD​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

GBPJPY or CHFJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

GBPJPY or​​ EURJPY​​ 

EURJPY or EURAUD​​ ​​ 

USDJPY or USDCHF​​ ​​ 

USDJPY or GBPCHF​​ 

GBPJPY or EURJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

USDJPY,​​ 

EURNZD or​​ 

EURAUD​​ ​​ 

CHFJPY,​​ 

USDCHF or​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

EURJPY or EURNZD​​ 

GBPUSD,​​ 

EURJPY or​​ 

USDCHF​​ ​​ 

USDJPY,​​ 

EURNZD or​​ 

EURAUD​​ ​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you​​ Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • EURCHF​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • GBPNZD​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • GBPAUD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • GBPCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • USDCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

​​ 

________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 11th​​ Sept​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 11th Sept August 2022​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for​​ business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated:​​ 24 Feb 2022​​ ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

USSR /Ukraine war​​ 

​​ 

US​​ vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation​​ ​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ –​​ Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese general saying military action is​​ considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU​​ Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s​​ political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is​​ becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM,​​ could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard)​​ Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ 

  • eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German​​ economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Timeframe​​ 

& Impact

​​ NY​​ Date

​​ & Time​​ 

Currency

News Event​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Sun Sep 11​​ 

All Day​​ 

CNY​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Mon Sep 12​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 12​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

NIESR GDP Estimate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 12​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

10-y Bond​​ Auction​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ZEW Economic Sentiment​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

German ZEW Economic Sentiment​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECOFIN Meetings​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

1:01 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Federal Budget Balance​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 13​​ 

6:45 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

Current Account​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Manufacturing Sales m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

6:45 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

GDP q/q​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed​​ Sep 14​​ 

9:00 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

MI Inflation Expectations​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Employment Change​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Unemployment Rate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 14​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

RBA Bulletin​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Core Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Retail Sales m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 15​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Sep 16​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Consumer​​ 

Sentiment​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Fri Sep 16​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Prelim UoM Inflation​​ Expectations​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

NA​​ 

Sat Sep 17​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ ​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are​​ listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

118​​ 

1181​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

155​​ 

1084​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

151​​ 

1062​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

102​​ 

1020​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

140​​ 

985​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

137​​ 

939​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

136​​ 

934​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

152​​ 

926​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

150​​ 

919​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

86​​ 

897​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to​​ help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

EURUSD, or GBPUSD​​ 

EURNZD or GBPNZD​​ 

EURJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or EURUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

GBPNZD or GBPAUD​​ ​​ 

EURJPY or EURAUD​​ ​​ 

GBPUSD or EURJPY​​ 

USDJPY or EURAUD​​ ​​ 

EURJPY or USDJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

GBPCHF or EURJPY​​ 

EURNZD,​​ 

GBPJPY or​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

EURUSD,​​ 

USDJPY or​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

GBPAUD,​​ 

GBPNZD or​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

EURAUD or GBPJPY​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these​​ indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • CHFJPY​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • GBPCAD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCHF​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

​​ 

  • USDCAD​​ 

 ​​​​ ________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 4th​​ Sept​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 4th Sept August 2022​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ – Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business​​ changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated:​​ 24 Feb 2022​​ ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

USSR /Ukraine war​​ 

​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation​​ ​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ –​​ Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese general saying military action is​​ considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU​​ Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s​​ political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is​​ becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM,​​ could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard)​​ Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ 

  • eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German​​ economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Timeframe​​ 

& Impact​​ 

NY​​ Date​​ 

& Time​​ 

Currency

News Event​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Sep 4​​ 

9:00 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

MI Inflation Gauge m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sun Sep 4​​ 

9:45 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Caixin Services PMI​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

3:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

GDP q/q​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

All Day​​ 

All​​ 

OPEC-JMMC Meetings​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

All Day​​ 

CAD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

All Day​​ 

USD​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Mon Sep 5​​ 

11:35 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

30-y Bond Auction​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

12:30 a.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Cash Rate​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

12:30 a.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

RBA Rate Statement​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

4:30 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Construction PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

ISM Services PMI​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue​​ Sep 6​​ 

Tentative​​ 

NZD​​ 

GDT Price Index​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

GDP q/q​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Sep 6​​ 

Tentative​​ 

CNY​​ 

USD-Denominated Trade Balance​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Halifax HPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Monetary Policy Report Hearings​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

Tentative​​ 

GBP​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Trade​​ Balance​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

BOC Rate Statement​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Overnight Rate​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

2:00 p.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Beige Book​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Current Account​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

7:50 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Final GDP q/q​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Sep 7​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

AUD​​ 

Trade Balance​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

8:15 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Main Refinancing Rate​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

8:15 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Monetary Policy Statement​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

8:45 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECB Press Conference​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

11:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

CPI y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 8​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

PPI y/y​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Fri Sep 9​​ 

4:30 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Consumer Inflation Expectations​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Sep 9​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Employment Change​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Fri Sep 9​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Unemployment Rate​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Sat Sep 10​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

ECOFIN Meetings​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in​​ the past 4 weeks. They are listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

124​​ 

1240​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

168​​ 

1199​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

156​​ 

1111​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

105​​ 

1052​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

140​​ 

995​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

157​​ 

961​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

140​​ 

953​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

138​​ 

943​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

92​​ 

934​​ 

EURNZD​​ 

149​​ 

911​​ 

GBPCAD​​ 

115​​ 

877​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you​​ monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPCHF or GBPUSD​​ 

GBPNZD,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

GBPCAD or GBPUSD​​ 

EURAUD or EURJPY​​ 

GBPCAD or GBPUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

EURJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPNZD or EURUSD​​ 

EURUSD, or EURNZD​​ 

EURJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

EURUSD or USDJPY​​ 

EURJPY,​​ 

EURUSD or​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

USDJPY or EURAUD​​ 

USDJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

EURUSD, or USDJPY​​ 

​​ ​​ 

 

 ​​​​ 

 

 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are​​ uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

  • CHFJPY​​ ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • CADJPY​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDCAD​​ ________________​​ 

​​ 

News​​ Watch​​ ​​ Week​​ of​​ 28th​​ August​​ 2022​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Be Aware of & Monitor these​​ 

Longer Term Issues​​ 

Last Check/Update – 28th August 2022​​ 

Critical Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Possible Immediate Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

All Countries– Covid19​​ –​​ Corona Virus​​ 

  • Monitor for business changes/closures​​ as lockdowns start to expire​​ 

  • Closely monitor the Central Banks (Fed & others) for more​​ 

surprise decisions on Interest Rate Cuts &/or QE​​ 

USSR/Ukraine/USA​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated:​​ 24 Feb 2022​​ ( from Feb 2021))​​ 

USSR /Ukraine war​​ 

​​ 

US vs China– Monitor Trade war​​ 

Pay attention to any escalation​​ ​​ 

China- Evergrande issue​​ ​​ (Updated: 26 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Israel & Iran & Gaza​​ – Monitor – Conflict Escalation & Possibe Nuclear Arsenal​​ (Update: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

​​ 

Goldman Sachs Analysis​​ – Be prudent about the analysis re US economy​​ 

(22 Aug 2021)​​ 

​​ 

Afghanistan​​ –​​ Unfolding Situation​​ (Updated: 22 Aug 21)​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Important Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Medium Term Impact​​ 

 ​​​​ 

US Dollar losing primacy as Reserve Currency​​ ​​ (Added: ​​ 23 March 2022)​​  ​​ ​​​​ Russia demanding Roubles or Yuan instead of USD for payments.​​ 

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/1146816-the-us-dollars-global-standing-as-the-top​​ 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/putin-says-russia-will-start-selling-gas-unfriendly-countries-roubles-2022-03-23/

US-Iran​​ Tension Escalation​​ 

​​ 

China/Taiwan​​ – Monitor for possible aggression​​ as per Chinese general saying military action is​​ considered​​ EU – Poland​​ – Monitor for possible Issues​​ (Updated: 9 Oct 2021)​​  ​​ ​​​​ after Poland Constitutional Court decision. PolExit?​​ 

​​ 

European Union Dissolving?​​ Monitor the EU for​​ interstate difficulties exacerbated by the Covid19 epidemic​​ via EU​​ Council meeting relationships degrading​​ 

– also monitor Germany’s Constitutional Court Ruling​​ for future implications – re EURO viability, EU partnerships,​​ & possible end of EU? More info here: www.cnbc.com/​​ 

 ​​​​ 

China/Hong Kong​​ – Monitor​​ 

​​ 

EU​​ – Germany’s​​ political situation is not settled​​ Additional EU Entrants possible?​​ 

​​ 

Syria​​ – Could disrupt in the markets​​ 

​​ 

Libya​​ – Geopolitical/Military escalation could effect Oil Prices​​ 

​​ 

ECB​​ – Monitor statements for weakening impacts​​ 

ECB outlook is​​ becoming more pessimistic re EU Economy​​ 

Monitor any action taken if/when QE ceases at Year End​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Ongoing Items​​ 

 ​​ ​​ ​​​​ – Impact:​​ Very Long Term Repercussions​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Italy​​ – Monitor​​ (Updated: 17 July 2022, ​​ 14 Feb 2021)​​ 

Draghi quits as PM,​​ could still impact EU​​ 

  • Monitor – Budget & Banking System​​ 

  • Monitor – Possible EU Penalty & alternate currency​​ 

​​ 

OPEC​​ – considering dropping USD as denomination currency​​ Influence of terrorism on production has risen.​​ 

German Bank (WireCard)​​ Bankrupted​​ – Monitor for​​ possible future ramifications for stability​​ 

  • eg domino effect a la Lehman Brothers.​​ 

Karlsruhe German Constitutional Court​​ (Updated: 9 May 21)​​ 

Monitor: Decision re ECB PEPP (QE)​​ 

Could be revoked causing major impact on the German​​ economy​​ 

China vs India vs Pakistan– Monitor conflicts along border​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________​​ 

MAX NewsWatch List​​ 

Opens:​​ Tokyo – 8pm​​ –​​ Frankfurt 2am – London 3am –​​ US Open 8am – All Times are in New York Times​​ 

Timeframe​​ 

& Impact​​ 

NY​​ Date

​​ & Time​​ 

Currency

News Event​​ 

​​ 

​​ NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio​​ Live Trading Session​​ 

Friday @ 8:20 am, 2nd Sep (NY Time)​​ 

Register here for the​​ NFP​​ Session​​ &/or​​ Video​​ 

NA​​ 

Sun Aug 28​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Holiday​​ 

Mon Aug 29​​ 

All Day​​ 

GBP​​ 

Bank Holiday​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

3:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

KOF Economic Barometer​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

All Day​​ 

EUR​​ 

German Prelim CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

Italian 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Aug​​ 

30​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

Current Account​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

CB Consumer Confidence​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

9:00 p.m.​​ 

NZD​​ 

ANZ Business Confidence​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Manufacturing PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Tue Aug 30​​ 

9:30 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Non-Manufacturing PMI​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

1:00 a.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

Consumer Confidence​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

4:00 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

Credit Suisse Economic​​ 

Expectations​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug​​ 

31​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

5:00 a.m.​​ 

EUR​​ 

Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

8:15 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

ADP Non-Farm Employment​​ 

Change​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

CAD​​ 

GDP m/m​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

9:45 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Chicago PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug​​ 

31​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Crude Oil Inventories​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

9:45 p.m.​​ 

CNY​​ 

Caixin Manufacturing PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Wed Aug 31​​ 

11:35 p.m.​​ 

JPY​​ 

10-y Bond Auction​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

Under H4​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

2:00 a.m.​​ 

GBP​​ 

Nationwide HPI m/m​​ 

All TFs​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

2:30 a.m.​​ 

CHF​​ 

CPI m/m​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

Spanish 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

Tentative​​ 

EUR​​ 

French 10-y Bond Auction​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Claims​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

10:00 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

ISM Manufacturing PMI​​ 

Monitor​​ 

Thu Sep 1​​ 

10:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Natural Gas Storage​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 

​​ ​​ 

NFP – Real-Time with Eusebio​​ Live Trading Session​​ 

Today @ 8:20 am, 2nd Sep (NY Time)​​ 

Register here for the​​ NFP​​ Session​​ &/or​​ Video​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

 

Fri Sep 2​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Average Hourly Earnings m/m​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

 

Fri Sep 2​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Non-Farm Employment​​ 

Change​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

 

Fri Sep 2​​ 

8:30 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

Unemployment Rate​​ 

Hi Impact+​​ 

 

Fri Sep 2​​ 

8:32 a.m.​​ 

USD​​ 

NFP​​ Revision​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

NA​​ 

Sat Sep 3​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

The​​ “Top​​ Pairs”​​ List​​ ​​ Updated weekly​​ 

​​ 

​​ 

The​​ Top Pairs​​ below are ones that have moved the most in the past 4 weeks. They are​​ listed in $ order: largest $ to smallest $ movers.​​ 

Pair​​ 

Avg Daily Pip Range​​ 

Avg Daily $ Range​​ 

GBPJPY​​ 

175​​ 

1275​​ 

GBPUSD​​ 

123​​ 

1234​​ 

EURJPY​​ 

159​​ 

1156​​ 

USDJPY​​ 

142​​ 

1034​​ 

EURUSD​​ 

103​​ 

1032​​ 

GBPAUD​​ 

140​​ 

964​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

156​​ 

960​​ 

EURAUD​​ 

138​​ 

952​​ 

GBPCHF​​ 

92​​ 

950​​ 

CHFJPY​​ 

129​​ 

935​​ 

 ​​​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Short List of Each​​ Day’s​​ Top Pairs​​ 

​​ 

Use these suggested pairs to help limit the pairs you monitor each day.​​ 

These pairs use the News Events to​​ help marrow the selection.​​ 

MAX Courses will teach you how to make this table for yourself.​​ 

Suggested Pairs​​ 

 ​​​​   ​​​​   ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

Mon​​ 

Tues​​ 

Wed​​ 

Thurs​​ 

Friday​​ 

1st​​ 

Choices​​  ​​ 

GBPJPY or GBPUSD​​ 

USDJPY or GBPUSD​​ 

USDJPY or GBPUSD​​ 

GBPJPY or GBPJPY​​ 

USDJPY or​​ GBPUSD​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

EURJPY or USDJPY​​ 

EURUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

EURUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

GBPUSD,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

EURUSD or GBPJPY​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

 ​​​​ 

2nd​​ 

Choice​​ 

EURUSD,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

EURJPY,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

EURJPY, GBPAUD or GBPNZD​​ 

​​  CHFJPY or​​ EURJPY​​ 

EURJPY,​​ 

GBPAUD or​​ 

GBPNZD​​ 

​​ ​​ 

Note: YFor tis week, you can also monitor GBPCHF, EURCHF, NZDCHF for movement​​ 

________________________________________________________________​​ 

Smooth Movers​​ ​​ Possibly Easier to Trade​​ 

​​ 

Forex Pairs​​  ​​​​ Indices​​ 

If you are uncomfortable with the​​  Consider trading these indices, too.​​ 

faster more volatile pairs above, you Be careful, take your time & make could consider monitoring/trading certain you know how they move. these ones instead. They use points​​ & fractions of points.​​ 

Less money, but possibly less Check with your broker for more volatility & stress.​​ info.​​ 

​​ GBPCAD​​  ​​ 

​​ Some brokers allow trading the​​ 

  • EURNZD​​ Indices by CFDs, instead of Futures​​ ​​ Check with your broker for more​​ 

  • CADJPY​​ info.​​ 

  • DAX​​ 

  • AUDJPY​​ ​​ DOW Jones​​ 

​​ 

  • NASDAQ​​ 

  • AUDUSD​​ 

  • S&P 500​​ 

​​ 

  • EURCAD​​ 

​​ 

  • USDCHF​​ 

​​ 

  • NZDUSD​​ 

​​ 

  • USDCAD​​ 

​​ 

​​ USDCAD​​ 

​​ 

________________​​ 

__________________​​ 

​​ 

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